A novel AI-driven framework for trusted decisions and sustainable flood management in smart cities

The management of floods is a vital problem that climate change exacerbates, as it produces more frequent and more severe flooding events. This study develops a combined artificial intelligence system which improves flood prediction and decision-making processes for urban environments. The system uses Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) to conduct drainage image analysis while using K-Means clustering to identify rainfall and blockage patterns and Random Forest classification to process structured data together with a semantic rule-based system which operates on real-time sensor information and weather API data. The model achieved an F1-score of 0.97 which demonstrates strong predictive performance while it offers explainable recommendations that assist stakeholders with managing flood situations. The research demonstrates how urban planners and disaster management authorities can develop advanced flood-prevention measures through their work. The study’s original contribution is the uniting of multiple real-time data sources with hybrid artificial intelligence methods and Explainable AI (XAI) to achieve flood prediction with transparent and precise results in smart cities.

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Publication Details

Journal
African Journal of Science Technology Innovation and Development
Published
2026-08-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/20421338.2026.2686663
Primary Topic
Flood Risk Assessment and Management
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

A novel AI-driven framework for trusted decisions and sustainable flood management in smart cities

Manoj Devare, Farhan Shaikh
African Journal of Science Technology Innovation and Development
Flood Risk Assessment and Management
article

A novel AI-driven framework for trusted decisions and sustainable flood management in smart cities

Manoj Devare, Farhan Shaikh
article en

Abstract

The management of floods is a vital problem that climate change exacerbates, as it produces more frequent and more severe flooding events. This study develops a combined artificial intelligence system which improves flood prediction and decision-making processes for urban environments. The system uses Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) to conduct drainage image analysis while using K-Means clustering to identify rainfall and blockage patterns and Random Forest classification to process structured data together with a semantic rule-based system which operates on real-time sensor information and weather API data. The model achieved an F1-score of 0.97 which demonstrates strong predictive performance while it offers explainable recommendations that assist stakeholders with managing flood situations. The research demonstrates how urban planners and disaster management authorities can develop advanced flood-prevention measures through their work. The study’s original contribution is the uniting of multiple real-time data sources with hybrid artificial intelligence methods and Explainable AI (XAI) to achieve flood prediction with transparent and precise results in smart cities.

African Journal of Science Technology Innovation and Development
Amity University (AE)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 12%
Flood Risk Assessment and Management
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A novel AI-driven framework for trusted decisions and sustainable flood management in smart cities — Manoj Devare, Farhan Shaikh · African Journal of Science Technology Innovation and Development (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS