Endogenous and Exogenous Drivers of Refugee Policy of the Transit State: The Case of Indonesia

ABSTRACT Most studies on transit states emphasise exogenous influences on domestic refugee policymaking, with little consideration of endogenous factors to the state itself. Exploring literature from migration studies, refugee studies and international law studies, we identify and classify nearly identical endogenous and exogenous drivers of refugee policy change across transit states worldwide. Drawing on a case study of Indonesia, an important transit state on the Southeast Asia route, we apply Walt and Gilson's Policy Triangle framework to analyse refugee policy documents from the 1950s to 2019. As in other transit states, we find that Indonesian policy was driven by the border externalisation of neighbouring destination states. In addition, the Indonesian case highlighted endogenous drivers of policymaking, with conflict and national values shaping policies, demonstrating the importance of national strategic interests. Our findings bring new evidence of transit state agency in refugee policy responses. Overall, we highlight the complexity of refugee governance in transit states, pointing to the need for further research into endogenous conflict and national identity as endogenous drivers of domestic policymaking.

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Publication Details

Journal
Australian Journal of Politics & History
Published
2026-08-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/ajph.70097
Primary Topic
Migration, Refugees, and Integration
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Endogenous and Exogenous Drivers of Refugee Policy of the Transit State: The Case of Indonesia

Kirsten Martinus, Kynan Gentry, Anita Herlina
Australian Journal of Politics & History
Migration, Refugees, and Integration
article

Endogenous and Exogenous Drivers of Refugee Policy of the Transit State: The Case of Indonesia

Kirsten Martinus, Kynan Gentry, Anita Herlina
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT Most studies on transit states emphasise exogenous influences on domestic refugee policymaking, with little consideration of endogenous factors to the state itself. Exploring literature from migration studies, refugee studies and international law studies, we identify and classify nearly identical endogenous and exogenous drivers of refugee policy change across transit states worldwide. Drawing on a case study of Indonesia, an important transit state on the Southeast Asia route, we apply Walt and Gilson's Policy Triangle framework to analyse refugee policy documents from the 1950s to 2019. As in other transit states, we find that Indonesian policy was driven by the border externalisation of neighbouring destination states. In addition, the Indonesian case highlighted endogenous drivers of policymaking, with conflict and national values shaping policies, demonstrating the importance of national strategic interests. Our findings bring new evidence of transit state agency in refugee policy responses. Overall, we highlight the complexity of refugee governance in transit states, pointing to the need for further research into endogenous conflict and national identity as endogenous drivers of domestic policymaking.

Australian Journal of Politics & History
The University of Western Australia (AU)
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Migration, Refugees, and Integration
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