LAB #998 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: NZDUSD LONG — improves win rate from 31.6% to 35.5% (+3.8pp, n=62) — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: NZDUSD LONG — improves win rate from 31.6% to 35.5% (+3.8pp, n=62) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the NZDUSD LONG filter would have had no direct impact on the current trade window, as no NZDUSD trades are present in the live eToro list. The filter only blocks non-NZDUSD LONG entries, so all existing EURUSD, USDCAD, GBPUSD, XAUUSD, EURJPY, USDCHF, AUDUSD, and USDJPY trades would remain unaffected. The win-rate improvement from 31.6% to 35.5% is based on a small sample (n=62) and may not replicate in this specific window. No PnL delta is expected from this filter over the current trades. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3-6 months, the filter could modestly lift overall win rate by ~3-4 percentage points if the backtest signal holds, but the small sample size (n=62) raises risk of overfitting. The filter narrows trade opportunities, potentially reducing total trade count and total PnL even if win rate improv Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-08-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21912966
Primary Topic
Competitive and Knowledge Intelligence
Type
preprint
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LAB #998 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: NZDUSD LONG — improves win rate from 31.6% to 35.5% (+3.8pp, n=62) — E8 Intelligence Research

Andrew Stewart Caldin
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Competitive and Knowledge Intelligence
preprint

LAB #998 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: NZDUSD LONG — improves win rate from 31.6% to 35.5% (+3.8pp, n=62) — E8 Intelligence Research

Andrew Stewart Caldin
preprint en

Abstract

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: NZDUSD LONG — improves win rate from 31.6% to 35.5% (+3.8pp, n=62) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the NZDUSD LONG filter would have had no direct impact on the current trade window, as no NZDUSD trades are present in the live eToro list. The filter only blocks non-NZDUSD LONG entries, so all existing EURUSD, USDCAD, GBPUSD, XAUUSD, EURJPY, USDCHF, AUDUSD, and USDJPY trades would remain unaffected. The win-rate improvement from 31.6% to 35.5% is based on a small sample (n=62) and may not replicate in this specific window. No PnL delta is expected from this filter over the current trades. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3-6 months, the filter could modestly lift overall win rate by ~3-4 percentage points if the backtest signal holds, but the small sample size (n=62) raises risk of overfitting. The filter narrows trade opportunities, potentially reducing total trade count and total PnL even if win rate improv Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Competitive and Knowledge Intelligence
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LAB #998 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: NZDUSD LONG — improves win rate from 31.6% to 35.5% (+3.8pp, n=62) — E8 Intelligence Research — Andrew Stewart Caldin · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS