Multi-algorithm consensus clustering identifies four subphenotypes in sepsis-associated acute kidney injury

Sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (SA-AKI) is a highly heterogeneous syndrome with variable clinical trajectories and outcomes. Conventional staging systems, such as KDIGO, fail to capture this heterogeneity, limiting risk stratification and personalized management. We aimed to identify reproducible SA-AKI subphenotypes using unsupervised machine learning on routinely collected clinical data and to characterize their clinical profiles and prognostic implications. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 9,029 adult patients with SA-AKI from the MIMIC-IV v3.1 database. Within the 24-hour period before and after the diagnosis of SA-AKI, 19 core clinical variables—including vital signs and laboratory values—were extracted. A multi-algorithm consensus clustering framework integrating K-means, hierarchical clustering, and K-medoids was applied to identify subphenotypes. Cluster stability was assessed using consensus strength, entropy, and silhouette analysis, with visualization via t-SNE. Key discriminative features were identified using XGBoost with SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). Primary outcome was in-hospital mortality; secondary outcome was 30-day survival. Four robust SA-AKI subphenotypes were identified: Subphenotype I (Hypoinflammatory): preserved oxygenation (SpO 2 ≈100%), low inflammation (WBC 8.9 × 10 9 /L), hospital mortality 16.4%; Subphenotype II (Stable): highest urine output (470 mL/6 h), lowest mortality (14.3%); Subphenotype III (Hyperdynamic): elevated heart/respiratory rates, impaired oxygenation (SpO 2 ≈96%), mortality 21.6%; Subphenotype IV (Critical): severe renal dysfunction (creatinine 2.2 mg/dL, urine output 253.5 mL/6 h), coagulopathy, metabolic acidosis, and highest mortality (34.2%).Kaplan-Meier analysis confirmed significant differences in 30-day survival across subphenotypes (log-rank P < 0.0001), with Subphenotype IV showing the poorest prognosis (median survival: ~18 days). Unsupervised consensus clustering reveals four clinically meaningful SA-AKI subphenotypes with markedly different outcomes. The “Critical” subphenotype is identifiable by routine parameters and warrants early aggressive intervention. This framework supports precision phenotyping for risk stratification and future targeted trials in SA-AKI.

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Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2026-08-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-62559-3
Primary Topic
Acute Kidney Injury Research
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article
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article

Multi-algorithm consensus clustering identifies four subphenotypes in sepsis-associated acute kidney injury

Shuang Chen, Qiyi Zeng, Guang Li, Xiancheng Xu et al.
Scientific Reports
Acute Kidney Injury Research
article

Multi-algorithm consensus clustering identifies four subphenotypes in sepsis-associated acute kidney injury

Shuang Chen, Qiyi Zeng, Guang Li, Xiancheng Xu, Shaohong Li, Xiaoyue Li, Canlin Li, Heng Li
article en

Abstract

Sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (SA-AKI) is a highly heterogeneous syndrome with variable clinical trajectories and outcomes. Conventional staging systems, such as KDIGO, fail to capture this heterogeneity, limiting risk stratification and personalized management. We aimed to identify reproducible SA-AKI subphenotypes using unsupervised machine learning on routinely collected clinical data and to characterize their clinical profiles and prognostic implications. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 9,029 adult patients with SA-AKI from the MIMIC-IV v3.1 database. Within the 24-hour period before and after the diagnosis of SA-AKI, 19 core clinical variables—including vital signs and laboratory values—were extracted. A multi-algorithm consensus clustering framework integrating K-means, hierarchical clustering, and K-medoids was applied to identify subphenotypes. Cluster stability was assessed using consensus strength, entropy, and silhouette analysis, with visualization via t-SNE. Key discriminative features were identified using XGBoost with SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). Primary outcome was in-hospital mortality; secondary outcome was 30-day survival. Four robust SA-AKI subphenotypes were identified: Subphenotype I (Hypoinflammatory): preserved oxygenation (SpO 2 ≈100%), low inflammation (WBC 8.9 × 10 9 /L), hospital mortality 16.4%; Subphenotype II (Stable): highest urine output (470 mL/6 h), lowest mortality (14.3%); Subphenotype III (Hyperdynamic): elevated heart/respiratory rates, impaired oxygenation (SpO 2 ≈96%), mortality 21.6%; Subphenotype IV (Critical): severe renal dysfunction (creatinine 2.2 mg/dL, urine output 253.5 mL/6 h), coagulopathy, metabolic acidosis, and highest mortality (34.2%).Kaplan-Meier analysis confirmed significant differences in 30-day survival across subphenotypes (log-rank P < 0.0001), with Subphenotype IV showing the poorest prognosis (median survival: ~18 days). Unsupervised consensus clustering reveals four clinically meaningful SA-AKI subphenotypes with markedly different outcomes. The “Critical” subphenotype is identifiable by routine parameters and warrants early aggressive intervention. This framework supports precision phenotyping for risk stratification and future targeted trials in SA-AKI.

Scientific Reports
Guangdong Medical College (CN), Zunyi Medical University (CN), Dongguan University of Technology (CN), Tung Wah Hospital (CN), Dongguan People’s Hospital (CN)
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 10%
Acute Kidney Injury Research
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