Predictive Maintenance: Deep Learning-Based Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Combat Aircraft Engines

To improve the operational readiness of combat aircraft engines and reduce unplanned maintenance costs, accurately estimating the remaining useful life (RUL) is critical. Traditional maintenance often proves insufficient under dynamic mission profiles. In this study, a deep learning-based predictive maintenance model capable of autonomously extracting features from multivariate sensor data was developed. Using the NASA C-MAPSS FD001 and FD004 datasets, data were converted into sequential blocks via 50- and 30-step sliding windows, respectively. The model's architectural superiority in autonomously extracting temporal degradation features was validated against RF, CNN-LSTM, and BiLSTM baselines. On FD001, it achieved an R-squared (R2) of 0.8901, a 13.28 RMSE, and a 320.34 NASA risk score, demonstrating generalizability on the multi-regime FD004 dataset with a 15.71 RMSE. The proposed maintenance protocol achieved a 0.9973 AUC at the critical 30-cycle threshold, ensuring high reliability. Additionally, a decision-support simulator has been developed to validate this protocol under aggressive combat flight profiles. [Licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0] https://jast.msu.edu.tr/index.php/JAST/article/view/711

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-07-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21724169
Primary Topic
Machine Fault Diagnosis Techniques
Type
article
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article

Predictive Maintenance: Deep Learning-Based Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Combat Aircraft Engines

Doğay Altınel, Fatih Ürgen
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Machine Fault Diagnosis Techniques
article

Predictive Maintenance: Deep Learning-Based Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Combat Aircraft Engines

Doğay Altınel, Fatih Ürgen
article en

Abstract

To improve the operational readiness of combat aircraft engines and reduce unplanned maintenance costs, accurately estimating the remaining useful life (RUL) is critical. Traditional maintenance often proves insufficient under dynamic mission profiles. In this study, a deep learning-based predictive maintenance model capable of autonomously extracting features from multivariate sensor data was developed. Using the NASA C-MAPSS FD001 and FD004 datasets, data were converted into sequential blocks via 50- and 30-step sliding windows, respectively. The model's architectural superiority in autonomously extracting temporal degradation features was validated against RF, CNN-LSTM, and BiLSTM baselines. On FD001, it achieved an R-squared (R2) of 0.8901, a 13.28 RMSE, and a 320.34 NASA risk score, demonstrating generalizability on the multi-regime FD004 dataset with a 15.71 RMSE. The proposed maintenance protocol achieved a 0.9973 AUC at the critical 30-cycle threshold, ensuring high reliability. Additionally, a decision-support simulator has been developed to validate this protocol under aggressive combat flight profiles. [Licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0] https://jast.msu.edu.tr/index.php/JAST/article/view/711

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Istanbul Technical University (TR), Istanbul Medeniyet University (TR)
Responsible consumption and production
Openalex Percentile: Top 10%
Machine Fault Diagnosis Techniques
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Predictive Maintenance: Deep Learning-Based Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Combat Aircraft Engines — Doğay Altınel, Fatih Ürgen · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS