Are Building Codes an Effective Adaptation to Wind Risk? Evidence from Remotely Detected Blue Tarps

Hurricanes cause significant wind and water damage, yet economic research primarily focuses on the latter due to data limitations. We overcome this problem by analyzing photographs taken after Hurricane Irma (2017) to locate blue-tarped homes. Using a regression discontinuity framework, we find the 2001 Florida Building Code impacted wind risk for over 500,000 homeowners. Adopters were 22 percent less likely to experience wind damage and saw a 27 percent reduction in damage severity. Unrepaired properties also sold for 13.3 percent ($29,400) less and were harder to sell, underscoring the importance of building codes in mitigating risk and promoting climate change adaptation. (JEL Q54, R31, R38)

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Publication Details

Journal
American Economic Journal Economic Policy
Published
2026-07-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.20240544
Primary Topic
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Are Building Codes an Effective Adaptation to Wind Risk? Evidence from Remotely Detected Blue Tarps

Kenji Takeuchi, David Wolf
American Economic Journal Economic Policy
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
article

Are Building Codes an Effective Adaptation to Wind Risk? Evidence from Remotely Detected Blue Tarps

Kenji Takeuchi, David Wolf
article en

Abstract

Hurricanes cause significant wind and water damage, yet economic research primarily focuses on the latter due to data limitations. We overcome this problem by analyzing photographs taken after Hurricane Irma (2017) to locate blue-tarped homes. Using a regression discontinuity framework, we find the 2001 Florida Building Code impacted wind risk for over 500,000 homeowners. Adopters were 22 percent less likely to experience wind damage and saw a 27 percent reduction in damage severity. Unrepaired properties also sold for 13.3 percent ($29,400) less and were harder to sell, underscoring the importance of building codes in mitigating risk and promoting climate change adaptation. (JEL Q54, R31, R38)

American Economic Journal Economic PolicyVol. 18(3)
Kyoto University (JP), Kobe University (JP)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 12%
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
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