Epidemiology of asbestosis in the Netherlands: a ten-year cohort analysis

Background Asbestosis is a progressive interstitial lung disease caused by inhalation of asbestos fibers. Although asbestos use was banned in the Netherlands in 1993, new cases continue to be diagnosed. Since 2014, a national compensation system has enabled systematic assessment of asbestosis incidence and outcomes. This population-based study examined national trends in asbestosis incidence from 2014–2024 and evaluated survival and prognostic factors. Methods We conducted a retrospective national cohort study including all adults (≥18 years) diagnosed with asbestosis between 2014–2024 according to Dutch Health Council criteria used for compensation. Diagnoses were established by consensus of three independent pulmonologists based on radiological evidence of diffuse pulmonary fibrosis, ≥5 fiber-years of exposure, and lung function impairment according to American Medical Association (AMA) criteria. Demographic data, lung function, work history, and overall survival were collected. Incidence per 100 000 persons per year was calculated. Results Of 1004 applicants, 476 (47.4%) met criteria for asbestosis. Median age at diagnosis was 77 years, and 98.9% were male. Annual incidence ranged from 0.115 to 0.347 per 100 000, with no significant temporal trend (Spearman rho 0.41, p=0.214). AMA class 4 was most common (44.5%) and strongly associated with mortality (HR 2.52, 95% CI 1.81–3.49). Older age also predicted poorer survival. Median survival ranged from 25.5 months (AMA 4) to 83.4 months (AMA 0–2). Time-dependent modeling showed increasing hazard over time for AMA class 4. Conclusions More than two decades after the asbestos ban, asbestosis incidence remains stable. AMA class and age are key predictors of survival.