MODEL ADOPTION #278: REJECT — LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Phase distance MODERATE (5-10deg) — improves win rate from 32. — E8 Intelligence Research
DECISION: REJECT ELEMENT: The phase distance filter (5-10deg) is not compatible with E8 geometry timing — it introduces a static angular window that conflicts with the dynamic rhythm logic of Gods-Clock. The backtest gain (+1.9pp, n=149) is statistically weak (p > 0.05 given the small sample and high variance in FADE polarity edges). The filter would reject trades based on a single metric (phase distance) that is already implicitly captured by the E8-node entry timing. Adding it would create redundant constraints, reducing trade volume without a proven net profit gain. The risk of false negatives (rejecting winners in trending markets) is real and unquantified from this sample. EXPECTED IMPACT: Negligible or negative. Even if win rate rises to 34.2%, the reduction in total trades (estimated 5-10% fewer entries) would likely offset any profit gain. The current model already operates at a high loss rate (556 losses vs 299 wins); a 1.9pp win-rate improvement on a smaller base does not g Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com
Authors
- Andrew Stewart Caldin
Publication Details
- Journal
- Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
- Published
- 2026-07-28
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21637079
- Primary Topic
- Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
- Type
- preprint