Navigating Epistemic Monocultures in AI-Driven Science: A Simulation Study

Abstract AI integration into scientific communities promises accelerated discovery but raises concerns about detrimental homogenization. We develop an NK landscape model to explore these promises and risks.We find that non-personalized AI systems that offer uniform guidance yield benefits only under a narrow conjunction of problem structure, practices, and baseline research capabilities, becoming harmful otherwise. We implement two proposed mitigations: randomization and personalization. While randomization’s utility remains restricted to decomposable problems, personalization can enhance diversity, enabling benefits across a broader range of conditions. Crucially, these benefits are not automatic: they depend on effective institutional adaptation, requiring new standards, protocols, and practices.