Avoiding a Generative‐ <scp>AI</scp> Divide: Global Interdependencies and Governance Challenges for Labor Markets in Developing Countries

ABSTRACT Generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) is diffusing globally at unprecedented speed, reshaping labor markets through channels rooted in global interdependencies that no single country can govern alone. Standard “automation” framings are incomplete for developing countries: GenAI reconfigures services trade and platform‐mediated work across jurisdictions while also changing task content and skill returns within countries. These channels operate through structural constraints especially salient in developing contexts—high informality, persistent skill deficits, and gaps in digital and physical infrastructure. Drawing on emerging empirical evidence, we identify a dual risk. First, slow and uneven adoption may prevent firms, schools, and public agencies from capturing productivity gains, widening cross‐country gaps with the technological frontier. Second, developing countries may integrate into global AI value chains primarily through weakly regulated data work and platform labor, with limited protections and progression opportunities. These risks are fundamentally collective‐action problems: they arise from regulatory asymmetries, governance gaps, and the deeply interdependent nature of global digital labor markets that no single country can govern unilaterally. We analyze five domains where international coordination is both necessary and feasible: AI‐relevant skills; digital and physical infrastructure; regulation of platform and data work; developing‐country participation in global AI governance; and a Global South research agenda.

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Journal
Global Policy
Published
2026-07-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.70219
Primary Topic
Digital Economy and Work Transformation
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Avoiding a Generative‐ AI Divide: Global Interdependencies and Governance Challenges for Labor Markets in Developing Countries

Guillermo Cruces, Estefanía Lotitto, Verónica Amarante
Global Policy
Digital Economy and Work Transformation
article

Avoiding a Generative‐ AI Divide: Global Interdependencies and Governance Challenges for Labor Markets in Developing Countries

Guillermo Cruces, Estefanía Lotitto, Verónica Amarante
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT Generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) is diffusing globally at unprecedented speed, reshaping labor markets through channels rooted in global interdependencies that no single country can govern alone. Standard “automation” framings are incomplete for developing countries: GenAI reconfigures services trade and platform‐mediated work across jurisdictions while also changing task content and skill returns within countries. These channels operate through structural constraints especially salient in developing contexts—high informality, persistent skill deficits, and gaps in digital and physical infrastructure. Drawing on emerging empirical evidence, we identify a dual risk. First, slow and uneven adoption may prevent firms, schools, and public agencies from capturing productivity gains, widening cross‐country gaps with the technological frontier. Second, developing countries may integrate into global AI value chains primarily through weakly regulated data work and platform labor, with limited protections and progression opportunities. These risks are fundamentally collective‐action problems: they arise from regulatory asymmetries, governance gaps, and the deeply interdependent nature of global digital labor markets that no single country can govern unilaterally. We analyze five domains where international coordination is both necessary and feasible: AI‐relevant skills; digital and physical infrastructure; regulation of platform and data work; developing‐country participation in global AI governance; and a Global South research agenda.

Global Policy
Universidad de la República de Uruguay (UY), University of San Andrés (AR), CAF – Development Bank of Latin America (US), Universidad Nacional de La Plata (AR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Digital Economy and Work Transformation
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Avoiding a Generative‐ <scp>AI</scp> Divide: Global Interdependencies and Governance Challenges for Labor Markets in Developing Countries — Guillermo Cruces, Estefanía Lotitto, et al. · Global Policy (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS