Pathogen Forecast Model Version 1.0: A Process-based Five-Day Beach Advisory Forecast System for the San Diego/Tijuana Region
, PFM classified advisory exceedances with nearly 80% raw accuracy, high sensitivity, and lower specificity. This is the first forecast model that resolves estuarine, surfzone, and shelf regions. PFM is a useful public health tool and is constantly being improved.
Authors
- C. O. Anderson
- Uwe Send (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7682-5688)
- Falk Feddersen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5488-9074)
- Matthias Lankhorst (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4166-4044)
- Jeff S. Bowman (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8811-6280)
- Nathalí Cordero Quirós (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2335-7067)
- Akanksha Gupta (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3046-2495)
- Andrew D. Barton (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6480-4433)
- Shelby Marhoefer‐Jess (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4327-0110)
- Bruce D. Cornuelle
- G Gopalakrishnan
- Katherine Berman
- Corey Olfe
- Sarah N. Giddings
- Ian Brunjes
- M. S. Spydell
- Amaia Ruiz de Alegría Arzaburu
- James Behrens
Institutions
- Southern California Coastal Water Research Project (US)
- Scripps Institution of Oceanography (US)
- Baylor College of Medicine (US)
- University of California San Diego (US)
- Ecologie & Evolution (FR)
- NOAA National Data Buoy Center (US)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Environmental Science & Technology
- Published
- 2026-07-26
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.6c04225
- Primary Topic
- Fecal contamination and water quality
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00