Effects of Uber and Lyft on jobs, wages and GDP

Abstract Between 2010 and 2019, Uber and Lyft launched in hundreds of cities across the USA. Economic theory and prior literature, coupled with company claims, posit that ride-hailing increases job flexibility for drivers and mobility for passengers, thereby stimulating local economic activity. Here we test these claims by leveraging the staggered entry of Uber and Lyft across 167 service regions nationwide to estimate the aggregate effects on jobs, wages and regional GDP using difference-in-differences approaches that generate consistent estimates in the presence of heterogeneous treatment effects. We find that Uber and Lyft entry led to an increase in both regional GDP per capita and in seasonal, temporary or otherwise intermittent employment per working age population. We do not detect statistically significant effects on overall employment or earnings.

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Publication Details

Journal
Nature Cities
Published
2026-07-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s44284-026-00478-0
Primary Topic
Transportation and Mobility Innovations
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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Effects of Uber and Lyft on jobs, wages and GDP

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Transportation and Mobility Innovations
article

Effects of Uber and Lyft on jobs, wages and GDP

Jeremy J. Michalek, Akshaya Jha, Adam Koling, Daniel Armanios, Connor Forsythe
article en

Abstract

Abstract Between 2010 and 2019, Uber and Lyft launched in hundreds of cities across the USA. Economic theory and prior literature, coupled with company claims, posit that ride-hailing increases job flexibility for drivers and mobility for passengers, thereby stimulating local economic activity. Here we test these claims by leveraging the staggered entry of Uber and Lyft across 167 service regions nationwide to estimate the aggregate effects on jobs, wages and regional GDP using difference-in-differences approaches that generate consistent estimates in the presence of heterogeneous treatment effects. We find that Uber and Lyft entry led to an increase in both regional GDP per capita and in seasonal, temporary or otherwise intermittent employment per working age population. We do not detect statistically significant effects on overall employment or earnings.

Nature Cities
University of Oxford (GB), Carnegie Mellon University (US)
U.S. Department of Transportation, Carnegie Mellon University, University of Oxford
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 15%
Transportation and Mobility Innovations
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