Detecting Favoritism in Public Procurement

ABSTRACT Favoritism as a mode of corruption is a major concern in public procurement (PP) in many countries. We propose a regression discontinuity design (RDD) test arguing that the winning history of marginal winners and losers can be used to detect favoritism. We apply the empirical test to PP of cleaning services in Finland and find evidence of favoritism even in this relatively low corruption environment. First, winners of close races in terms of win margin tend to have won more also in the past, which is in contrast to competitive environment. Second, to rule out an alternative explanation of collusion based on incumbency, we show that these winners also tend to submit their bids the last, indicating information sharing about rival bids from the buyer to the favored bidder.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Industrial Economics
Published
2026-07-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/joie.70039
Primary Topic
Auction Theory and Applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Detecting Favoritism in Public Procurement

Joosua Virtanen, Janne Tukiainen, Susmita Baulia
Journal of Industrial Economics
Auction Theory and Applications
article

Detecting Favoritism in Public Procurement

Joosua Virtanen, Janne Tukiainen, Susmita Baulia
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT Favoritism as a mode of corruption is a major concern in public procurement (PP) in many countries. We propose a regression discontinuity design (RDD) test arguing that the winning history of marginal winners and losers can be used to detect favoritism. We apply the empirical test to PP of cleaning services in Finland and find evidence of favoritism even in this relatively low corruption environment. First, winners of close races in terms of win margin tend to have won more also in the past, which is in contrast to competitive environment. Second, to rule out an alternative explanation of collusion based on incumbency, we show that these winners also tend to submit their bids the last, indicating information sharing about rival bids from the buyer to the favored bidder.

Journal of Industrial Economics
University of Turku (FI), Turku University of Applied Sciences (FI), Elektrobit (Finland) (FI), VATT Institute for Economic Research (FI), 358 (Finland) (FI), Hanken School of Economics (FI)
Academy of Finland
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Auction Theory and Applications
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