Optimal Control Analysis and Cost – Effectiveness of Dengue Transmission Model Along With Implementation Time Effects in Applying the Control Interventions
ABSTRACT Dengue fever poses a significant global public health threat, and its effective management requires a comprehensive approach to control the dengue prevalence. This study proposes an optimal control problem for the dengue transmission, incorporating three key control measures: information‐induced self‐protection, saturated treatment, and pesticide use for vector control, and is analyzed using Pontryagin's Maximum Principle. Importantly, a novel higher nonlinearity in the cost construction is incorporated. Seven distinct control policies () incorporating different combinations of control measures are designed and evaluated through numerical simulations. The results demonstrate that the combined strategy of all controls (Policy ) is the most effective, reducing infection prevalence to minimal levels within approximately 60 days, while maintaining sustained control thereafter. In comparison, the combined use of information and treatment (Policy ) achieves a similar outcome but requires nearly 120 days to stabilize the infection. Among single‐control strategies, information‐induced self‐protection (Policy ) outperforms treatment () and pesticide application () when applied alone. Cost‐effectiveness analysis using CCER, IAR, and ICER reveals that Policy is the most cost‐effective intervention, with the lowest CCER value, while Policy averts the highest number of infections. Furthermore, the analysis shows that the control's effectiveness depends strongly on epidemic severity: for mild outbreaks (), combined strategies such as and (treatment and pesticide) perform efficiently, whereas for severe outbreaks (), comprehensive control () becomes essential. Additionally, delayed implementation of control measures significantly worsens disease outcomes, increasing infection peaks and economic burden. Overall, the study highlights the importance of timely and integrated intervention strategies and provides quantitative insights for optimal resource allocation in dengue control.
Authors
- Anuj Kumar (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6469-4967)
- Prashant K. Srivastava (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7651-5639)
- Sunmi Lee (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1126-0660)
- Manisha (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0008-4850-3244)
Institutions
- Indian Institute of Technology Patna (IN)
- Thapar Institute of Engineering & Technology (IN)
- Kyung Hee University (KR)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Optimal Control Applications and Methods
- Published
- 2026-07-24
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1002/oca.70127
- Primary Topic
- Mosquito-borne diseases and control
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00