Marine heatwaves in the Northeast Pacific intensify landfalling atmospheric rivers on the west coast of North America

Extreme precipitation along the west coast of North America is often associated with atmospheric rivers (ARs), fueled by evaporation from the ocean. When ARs interact with marine heatwaves (MHWs), they can form compound extreme events with amplified hydrological impacts. Here, we quantify how MHWs influence the intensity and precipitation of landfalling ARs through thermodynamic air-sea interaction processes. We use high-resolution regional coupled ocean-atmosphere ensemble simulations to isolate the influence of large-scale MHW-related sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies while constraining the synoptic-scale atmospheric circulation. Focusing on well-documented AR events during the 2013-16 Northeast Pacific MHW, we show that anomalously warm SSTs enhance evaporation and lower-tropospheric moisture availability, leading to a robust increase in integrated vapor transport and intensified landfalling ARs. The enhanced moisture transport results in earlier onset and substantially increased coastal precipitation, particularly over drought-vulnerable regions of California. Moisture-budget diagnostics demonstrate that this amplification arises from a direct thermodynamic response to SST anomalies, rather than indirect modulation through changes in large-scale atmospheric circulation. Insights gained from this case study identify a thermodynamic pathway linking MHWs and ARs, highlighting the role of persistent oceanic thermal anomalies in shaping compound hydrological extremes under continued climate warming.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2026-07-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-62522-2
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Marine heatwaves in the Northeast Pacific intensify landfalling atmospheric rivers on the west coast of North America

Christoph Renkl, Arthur J. Miller, Hyodae Seo
Scientific Reports
Climate variability and models
article

Marine heatwaves in the Northeast Pacific intensify landfalling atmospheric rivers on the west coast of North America

Christoph Renkl, Arthur J. Miller, Hyodae Seo
article en

Abstract

Extreme precipitation along the west coast of North America is often associated with atmospheric rivers (ARs), fueled by evaporation from the ocean. When ARs interact with marine heatwaves (MHWs), they can form compound extreme events with amplified hydrological impacts. Here, we quantify how MHWs influence the intensity and precipitation of landfalling ARs through thermodynamic air-sea interaction processes. We use high-resolution regional coupled ocean-atmosphere ensemble simulations to isolate the influence of large-scale MHW-related sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies while constraining the synoptic-scale atmospheric circulation. Focusing on well-documented AR events during the 2013-16 Northeast Pacific MHW, we show that anomalously warm SSTs enhance evaporation and lower-tropospheric moisture availability, leading to a robust increase in integrated vapor transport and intensified landfalling ARs. The enhanced moisture transport results in earlier onset and substantially increased coastal precipitation, particularly over drought-vulnerable regions of California. Moisture-budget diagnostics demonstrate that this amplification arises from a direct thermodynamic response to SST anomalies, rather than indirect modulation through changes in large-scale atmospheric circulation. Insights gained from this case study identify a thermodynamic pathway linking MHWs and ARs, highlighting the role of persistent oceanic thermal anomalies in shaping compound hydrological extremes under continued climate warming.

Scientific ReportsVol. 16(1)
University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa (US), University of Bonn (DE), Scripps Institution of Oceanography (US), University of California San Diego (US), University of Hawaiʻi Sea Grant (US), Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (US)
Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität Bonn
Life below water
Openalex Percentile: Top 11%
Climate variability and models
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