Creatinine assay interferences compromises MELD accuracy and may bias liver allocation

The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score is widely used to prioritize patients for liver transplantation and to estimate short-term mortality in end-stage liver disease. Inaccuracies in serum creatinine measurements, particularly interference from bilirubin, both key components of the MELD, may influence clinical decision-making. However, standardized approaches to address such analytical bias are lacking. Here we show that bilirubin-related interference leads to clinically relevant MELD distortions and associated outcomes. We developed a correction model using controlled in vitro matrices and validated it against representative patient samples. The model was applied to a large cohort from registry data and a separate clinical population. After correction, clinically meaningful score shifts occurred in a substantial proportion of patients, with lower corrected scores associated with altered transplantation probability and mortality estimates. These findings highlight the importance of harmonized, interference-resistant creatinine assays to improve fairness and accuracy in liver transplant allocation.

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Publication Details

Journal
Nature Communications
Published
2026-07-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-75011-x
Primary Topic
Liver Disease and Transplantation
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Creatinine assay interferences compromises MELD accuracy and may bias liver allocation

Ali Canbay, Jan‐Peter Sowa, Eda Kaya, Antonios Katsounas et al.
Nature Communications
Liver Disease and Transplantation
article

Creatinine assay interferences compromises MELD accuracy and may bias liver allocation

Ali Canbay, Jan‐Peter Sowa, Eda Kaya, Antonios Katsounas, Caroline Stobe, Oliver Goetze, Martina Bröcker‐Preuß, Mustafa Özçürümez, Abdurrahman Coşkun, Jasmin Weninger, Christin Quast, Maria Stepanova, Zobair M. Younossi
article en

Abstract

The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score is widely used to prioritize patients for liver transplantation and to estimate short-term mortality in end-stage liver disease. Inaccuracies in serum creatinine measurements, particularly interference from bilirubin, both key components of the MELD, may influence clinical decision-making. However, standardized approaches to address such analytical bias are lacking. Here we show that bilirubin-related interference leads to clinically relevant MELD distortions and associated outcomes. We developed a correction model using controlled in vitro matrices and validated it against representative patient samples. The model was applied to a large cohort from registry data and a separate clinical population. After correction, clinically meaningful score shifts occurred in a substantial proportion of patients, with lower corrected scores associated with altered transplantation probability and mortality estimates. These findings highlight the importance of harmonized, interference-resistant creatinine assays to improve fairness and accuracy in liver transplant allocation.

Nature CommunicationsVol. 17(1)
Georgetown University (US), University Hospitals of the Ruhr-University of Bochum (DE), Universitätsklinikum Knappschaftskrankenhaus Bochum (DE), Center for Outcomes Research in Liver Diseases (US), Reference Institute for Bioanalytics (DE), Kent Hastanesi (TR)
Hennepin Healthcare Research Institute
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 11%
Liver Disease and Transplantation
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