Context-Conditional Rarity in Time Series: A Conceptual Framework for Historical Event Comparison

This technical note introduces a simple framework for evaluating the rarity of a time-series event relative to historically similar conditions. It separates global event rarity, context-conditional rarity, and the amount of historical support available for the comparison.

Authors

K.D. Pom

Publication Details

Journal: Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published: 2026-07-23
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21504132
Primary Topic: Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Type: article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact: 0.00

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article

Context-Conditional Rarity in Time Series: A Conceptual Framework for Historical Event Comparison

K.D. Pom

Jul 23, 2026

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)

Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

article

Context-Conditional Rarity in Time Series: A Conceptual Framework for Historical Event Comparison

K.D. Pom

July 23, 2026article en

Abstract

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)

Openalex Percentile: Top 7%

Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

DOI Open Access PDF OpenAlex

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Context-Conditional Rarity in Time Series: A Conceptual Framework for Historical Event Comparison — K.D. Pom · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS