Bayesian structural model updating under prior misspecification using conditional normalizing flows

This study proposes a likelihood-free Bayesian structural model updating framework that is robust under prior misspecification. The approach employs Conditional Normalizing Flows to learn posterior distributions directly from simulated structural responses. To mitigate the degradation caused by imperfect engineering priors, a proposal-based training strategy and prior-proposal correction are introduced to ensure consistent posterior inference. Benchmark and nonlinear structural case studies demonstrate that the method accurately recovers multimodal posteriors and enables efficient structural model updating using high-dimensional acceleration time-history data.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering
Published
2026-07-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/13467581.2026.2706262
Primary Topic
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Bayesian structural model updating under prior misspecification using conditional normalizing flows

Tatsuya Itoi, Sangwon Lee, Taro Yaoyama, Toshiya Takeda
Journal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
article

Bayesian structural model updating under prior misspecification using conditional normalizing flows

Tatsuya Itoi, Sangwon Lee, Taro Yaoyama, Toshiya Takeda
article en

Abstract

This study proposes a likelihood-free Bayesian structural model updating framework that is robust under prior misspecification. The approach employs Conditional Normalizing Flows to learn posterior distributions directly from simulated structural responses. To mitigate the degradation caused by imperfect engineering priors, a proposal-based training strategy and prior-proposal correction are introduced to ensure consistent posterior inference. Benchmark and nonlinear structural case studies demonstrate that the method accurately recovers multimodal posteriors and enables efficient structural model updating using high-dimensional acceleration time-history data.

Journal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering
The University of Tokyo (JP)
Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
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