Diffusion MRI Identifies a Prolonged Pre-WMH Phase in Cerebral Small Vessel Disease

BACKGROUND: White matter hyperintensities (WMH) are widely used to assess cerebral small vessel disease but reflect late-stage injury. Diffusion magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) biomarkers have been proposed to capture earlier small vessel disease-related microstructural damage but their temporal progression relative to WMH and risk factors associated with progression remain unexplored. METHODS: We identified 2077 participants from the population-based cohort study of the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging in Olmsted County, Minnesota (aged 50–101 years) collected between 05/2005 and 09/2024 with longitudinal neuroimaging. Using multioutput nonlinear mixed-effects models in those with at least 2 FLAIR-MRI and diffusion-MRI scans, we characterized the temporal progression of WMH and 4 diffusion MRI biomarkers: fractional anisotropy of the genu of the corpus callosum, peak width of skeletonized mean diffusivity, free water, and Arteriolosclerosis-score, which were automatically estimated. Models incorporated participant-specific time shifts, correlations between biomarkers, and effects of risk factors (sex, education, APOE ε 4 status, cardiometabolic conditions). RESULTS: The study population had a mean age of 78 years, 47% were female, 28% were APOE ε4 allele carriers, and 80% were cognitively unimpaired, with an average follow-up of 5.2 years (SD, 4.3 years) for FLAIR-MRI and 4.3 years (SD, 3.9 years) for diffusion MRI. Arteriolosclerosis-score, fractional anisotropy of the genu of the corpus callosum, free water, and peak width of skeletonized mean diffusivity became abnormal in 50% of the study population 16, 12, 10, and 7 years before WMH become abnormal (half-width of CI <1 year), respectively. Global markers (Arteriolosclerosis-score, free water, peak width of skeletonized mean diffusivity, and WMH) were correlated, indicating shared substrates of widespread white matter injury. Fractional anisotropy of the genu of the corpus callosum, a vascular risk microstructural injury biomarker, was weakly coupled with WMH and had an earlier but more linear worsening across adulthood. Cardiometabolic conditions predicted earlier worsening of all biomarkers. Females showed earlier WMH, fractional anisotropy of the genu of the corpus callosum, and Arteriolosclerosis-score abnormalities, whereas males exhibited earlier peak width of skeletonized mean diffusivity and free water abnormalities. CONCLUSIONS: Diffusion MRI biomarkers were abnormal at least a decade before WMH become abnormal in the population, revealing a prolonged phase of early small vessel disease and highlighting their potential for small vessel disease prevention.