Temporary carbon storage can mitigate slow-responding climate changes
Abstract Carbon removal and storage is central to many net-zero commitments, yet its durability, particularly for nature-based methods, is uncertain due to disturbance risks. Previous work shows that carbon storage-years (the time-integrated quantity of carbon storage) are proportional to time-integrated avoided warming, which in turn causes avoided changes in slow-responding climate variables. Here, we show that temporary carbon storage results in avoided changes in inertial climate variables. Avoided changes in 2100 are proportional to carbon storage-years across a range of storage amounts and emissions scenarios for permafrost carbon, ocean carbon, Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, ocean temperature, and thermosteric sea-level rise. By 2300, proportionality persists in some variables, notably sea-level rise, ocean temperature, and ocean carbon. Temporary storage therefore has climate benefits that extend beyond the duration of the storage, with some persistence of benefits even on multi-century timescales. We find that these climate benefits are greatest when temporary storage is paired with ambitious mitigation.
Authors
- Mitchell Dickau (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5061-1331)
- H. Damon Matthews (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3625-390X)
Institutions
- Concordia University (CA)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Nature Communications
- Published
- 2026-10-16
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-78620-8
- Primary Topic
- Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- Canadian Network for Research and Innovation in Machining Technology, Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
- Environment and Climate Change Canada
- Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada