Global warming makes nitrogen oxide abatement key to ozone pollution mitigation

Global warming has become a critical factor affecting surface ozone (O 3 ) pollution. The effectiveness of emission reductions for O 3 pollution mitigation largely relies on the sensitivity of O 3 production to its precursors. However, how global warming affects the O 3 sensitivity remains unclear, posing a grand challenge in developing effective strategies for O 3 pollution mitigation. Here, by using comprehensive ambient observations to constrain model simulations, we show a strong temperature dependence of O 3 sensitivity over a large temperature range (−5° to 37°C) in Chinese cities. O 3 sensitivity shifts toward the nitrogen oxide–limited regime at higher temperatures. Temperature change alters the reaction regime by primarily modulating the rate coefficient of radical termination, rather than that of radical cycling, and by altering emissions of biogenic volatile organic compounds. Overall, future global warming will accelerate the transition of O 3 sensitivity toward the nitrogen oxide–limited regime, amplifying the benefits of nitrogen oxide emission abatement in mitigating O 3 pollution in urban areas worldwide.

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Publication Details

Journal
Science Advances
Published
2026-07-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aea4124
Primary Topic
Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Global warming makes nitrogen oxide abatement key to ozone pollution mitigation

Jonathan Williams, Hang Su, Cheng Huang, Yuanhang Zhang et al.
Science Advances
Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols
article

Global warming makes nitrogen oxide abatement key to ozone pollution mitigation

Jonathan Williams, Hang Su, Cheng Huang, Yuanhang Zhang, D. D. Parrish, H Z Wang, Ruijing Ni, Keding Lu, Fengxia Bao, Yafang Cheng, Xin Li, Wenjie Wang, Hong Liao
article en

Abstract

Global warming has become a critical factor affecting surface ozone (O 3 ) pollution. The effectiveness of emission reductions for O 3 pollution mitigation largely relies on the sensitivity of O 3 production to its precursors. However, how global warming affects the O 3 sensitivity remains unclear, posing a grand challenge in developing effective strategies for O 3 pollution mitigation. Here, by using comprehensive ambient observations to constrain model simulations, we show a strong temperature dependence of O 3 sensitivity over a large temperature range (−5° to 37°C) in Chinese cities. O 3 sensitivity shifts toward the nitrogen oxide–limited regime at higher temperatures. Temperature change alters the reaction regime by primarily modulating the rate coefficient of radical termination, rather than that of radical cycling, and by altering emissions of biogenic volatile organic compounds. Overall, future global warming will accelerate the transition of O 3 sensitivity toward the nitrogen oxide–limited regime, amplifying the benefits of nitrogen oxide emission abatement in mitigating O 3 pollution in urban areas worldwide.

Science AdvancesVol. 12(29)
Space Science Institute (US), Cyprus Institute (CY), Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (CN), Peking University (CN), Max Planck Institute for Chemistry (DE), State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control (CN), Shanghai Academy of Environmental Sciences (CN), Institute of Atmospheric Physics (CN), Nanjing University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, National Key Research and Development Program of China
Sustainable cities and communities
Openalex Percentile: Top 11%
Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols
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