Framework for evaluating renewables integration in the copper value chain

Copper demand is increasing with electrification, but primary production remains energy intensive and exposed to rising carbon constraints. We present OpenCu, an open-source Python implementation of a modular techno-economic and emissions accounting framework for mine-to-export copper value chains. The framework links process-resolved mass and energy balances with levelized costs, Scope 1–2 operational emissions, logistics, policy settings, and corridor-level multi-criteria assessment. Applied to representative copper pathways, fossil-intensive production costs about US$4,900 t −1 Cu and emits about 5,900 kg CO 2 e t −1 Cu. Green portfolios combining renewable electricity, in-pit crushing and conveying, electrified refining and low-carbon transport can reduce emissions by about 70–75% while lowering costs by up to about 20%. Corridor analysis shows that cathode exports from Chile and Australia to the EU offer strong value capture and lower carbon-price exposure, supporting climate-aligned copper supply-chain design.

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Publication Details

Journal
iScience
Published
2026-07-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2026.116839
Primary Topic
Photovoltaic Systems and Sustainability
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Framework for evaluating renewables integration in the copper value chain

Ismet Canbulat, Muhammad Haider Ali Khan, Rahman Daiyan, Serkan Saydam et al.
iScience
Photovoltaic Systems and Sustainability
article

Framework for evaluating renewables integration in the copper value chain

Ismet Canbulat, Muhammad Haider Ali Khan, Rahman Daiyan, Serkan Saydam, Rasmeet Singh, Iain MacGill, Gabi Burge
article en

Abstract

Copper demand is increasing with electrification, but primary production remains energy intensive and exposed to rising carbon constraints. We present OpenCu, an open-source Python implementation of a modular techno-economic and emissions accounting framework for mine-to-export copper value chains. The framework links process-resolved mass and energy balances with levelized costs, Scope 1–2 operational emissions, logistics, policy settings, and corridor-level multi-criteria assessment. Applied to representative copper pathways, fossil-intensive production costs about US$4,900 t −1 Cu and emits about 5,900 kg CO 2 e t −1 Cu. Green portfolios combining renewable electricity, in-pit crushing and conveying, electrified refining and low-carbon transport can reduce emissions by about 70–75% while lowering costs by up to about 20%. Corridor analysis shows that cathode exports from Chile and Australia to the EU offer strong value capture and lower carbon-price exposure, supporting climate-aligned copper supply-chain design.

iScienceVol. 29(8)
UNSW Sydney (AU), The George Institute for Global Health (AU)
University of New South Wales, Australian Research Council
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 14%
Photovoltaic Systems and Sustainability
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