Interactions between Ambient Ozone and Heat on Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: A Nationwide Study in Japan

High Resolution Image Download MS PowerPoint Slide Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is a major cause of cardiovascular mortality. Both ground-level ozone (O 3 ) and high ambient temperature have been associated with cardiovascular risk, yet their combined effects on OHCA remain unclear. We examined the joint effects of daily O 3 concentrations and temperature on OHCA risk in Japan from 2012 to 2019. OHCA data were obtained from the All-Japan Utstein Registry and temperature data from the Japan Meteorological Agency. Daily maximum 8 h O 3 concentrations were estimated using the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model and population weighted. Prefecture-specific associations were estimated using time-stratified case-crossover analyses with conditional quasi-Poisson regression and pooled via multivariate random-effects meta-analysis. Interactions between O 3 and temperature were assessed on additive and multiplicative scales. A total of 610,613 cardiac-origin OHCA cases were analyzed. A nonlinear association between O 3 and OHCA was observed, with a threshold near 60 ppb. At extreme heat (99th percentile temperature), a 10 ppb increase in O 3 above this threshold was associated with a relative risk of 1.04 (95% CI: 1.03–1.05). Both additive (RERI = 0.01; 95% CI: 0.00–0.03) and multiplicative ( p < 0.01) interactions indicated synergistic effects. Elevated temperature amplified the adverse cardiovascular effects of O 3, and vice versa, highlighting the importance of integrated heat and air quality management strategies under a warming climate.

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Journal
Environment & Health
Published
2026-07-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1021/envhealth.6c00094
Primary Topic
Climate Change and Health Impacts
Type
article
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article

Interactions between Ambient Ozone and Heat on Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: A Nationwide Study in Japan

Takanori Ikeda, Whanhee Lee, Shin Araki, Chris Fook Sheng Ng et al.
Environment & Health
Climate Change and Health Impacts
article

Interactions between Ambient Ozone and Heat on Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: A Nationwide Study in Japan

Takanori Ikeda, Whanhee Lee, Shin Araki, Chris Fook Sheng Ng, Satoru Chatani, Zhesi Yang, Yoshio Tahara, Kayo Ueda, Hikari Shimadera, Massimo Stafoggia, Masahiro Hashizume, Naohiro Yonemoto, The Japanese Circulation Society with Resuscitation Science Study (JCS-ReSS) Group, Sunao Kojima
article en

Abstract

High Resolution Image Download MS PowerPoint Slide Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is a major cause of cardiovascular mortality. Both ground-level ozone (O 3 ) and high ambient temperature have been associated with cardiovascular risk, yet their combined effects on OHCA remain unclear. We examined the joint effects of daily O 3 concentrations and temperature on OHCA risk in Japan from 2012 to 2019. OHCA data were obtained from the All-Japan Utstein Registry and temperature data from the Japan Meteorological Agency. Daily maximum 8 h O 3 concentrations were estimated using the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model and population weighted. Prefecture-specific associations were estimated using time-stratified case-crossover analyses with conditional quasi-Poisson regression and pooled via multivariate random-effects meta-analysis. Interactions between O 3 and temperature were assessed on additive and multiplicative scales. A total of 610,613 cardiac-origin OHCA cases were analyzed. A nonlinear association between O 3 and OHCA was observed, with a threshold near 60 ppb. At extreme heat (99th percentile temperature), a 10 ppb increase in O 3 above this threshold was associated with a relative risk of 1.04 (95% CI: 1.03–1.05). Both additive (RERI = 0.01; 95% CI: 0.00–0.03) and multiplicative ( p < 0.01) interactions indicated synergistic effects. Elevated temperature amplified the adverse cardiovascular effects of O 3, and vice versa, highlighting the importance of integrated heat and air quality management strategies under a warming climate.

Environment & Health
National Institute for Environmental Studies (JP), Hokkaido University (JP), Department of Physics, Mathematics and Informatics (BY), Global Policy Institute (US), Japanese Circulation Society (JP), Azienda Sanitaria Locale Roma 3 (IT), Nagasaki University (JP), Pusan National University (KR), The University of Tokyo (JP), Graduate School USA (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Climate Change and Health Impacts
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