Estimating confidence interval of difference in optimal accuracy achieved by overlapping (or nested) groups of clinical biomarkers under multivariate normality

In biomedical studies, it is a common practice to combine multiple clinical markers/tests available to achieve higher overall accuracy. In this paper, we consider some important problems in binary classification problem arising from biomarker combination. This paper focuses on the settings with multivariate normality under which optimal combination coefficients have a closed-form. Specifically, the aim is to study confidence interval estimation of the difference in optimal accuracy measured by area under ROC curve (i.e. AUC) achieved by two overlapping groups of biomarkers as well as two nested groups of biomarkers. The simulation studies indicate that proposed procedures have satisfactory coverage at finite sample sizes. A subset from Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) study is analyzed to illustrate the usage of proposed approaches in practice.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Applied Statistics
Published
2026-07-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2026.2703182
Primary Topic
Imbalanced Data Classification Techniques
Type
article
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article

Estimating confidence interval of difference in optimal accuracy achieved by overlapping (or nested) groups of clinical biomarkers under multivariate normality

Lili Tian, Nan Nan
Journal of Applied Statistics
Imbalanced Data Classification Techniques
article

Estimating confidence interval of difference in optimal accuracy achieved by overlapping (or nested) groups of clinical biomarkers under multivariate normality

Lili Tian, Nan Nan
article en

Abstract

In biomedical studies, it is a common practice to combine multiple clinical markers/tests available to achieve higher overall accuracy. In this paper, we consider some important problems in binary classification problem arising from biomarker combination. This paper focuses on the settings with multivariate normality under which optimal combination coefficients have a closed-form. Specifically, the aim is to study confidence interval estimation of the difference in optimal accuracy measured by area under ROC curve (i.e. AUC) achieved by two overlapping groups of biomarkers as well as two nested groups of biomarkers. The simulation studies indicate that proposed procedures have satisfactory coverage at finite sample sizes. A subset from Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) study is analyzed to illustrate the usage of proposed approaches in practice.

Journal of Applied Statistics
University at Buffalo, State University of New York (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Imbalanced Data Classification Techniques
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