A New Sampling Method via Approximate Bayesian Computation with Correlated Random Numbers

Bayesian inference for hierarchical and latent-variable models often faces challenges with intractable likelihoods and the complexity of tuning backward-mode posterior samplers. This paper leverages the forward data generative process to achieve exact posterior sampling without direct likelihood evaluation. Starting from a forward-mode validator that produces independent posterior draws, we integrate Approximate Bayesian Computation with non-centered parameterization to induce correlation in latent variables, improving acceptance and mixing. Applications to Bayesian Lasso, random-effects models, and stochastic volatility demonstrate that the correlated sampler achieves substantial computational gains while recovering the exact posterior.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics
Published
2026-07-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/10618600.2026.2705296
Primary Topic
Markov Chains and Monte Carlo Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

A New Sampling Method via Approximate Bayesian Computation with Correlated Random Numbers

Hang Qian
Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics
Markov Chains and Monte Carlo Methods
article

A New Sampling Method via Approximate Bayesian Computation with Correlated Random Numbers

Hang Qian
article en

Abstract

Bayesian inference for hierarchical and latent-variable models often faces challenges with intractable likelihoods and the complexity of tuning backward-mode posterior samplers. This paper leverages the forward data generative process to achieve exact posterior sampling without direct likelihood evaluation. Starting from a forward-mode validator that produces independent posterior draws, we integrate Approximate Bayesian Computation with non-centered parameterization to induce correlation in latent variables, improving acceptance and mixing. Applications to Bayesian Lasso, random-effects models, and stochastic volatility demonstrate that the correlated sampler achieves substantial computational gains while recovering the exact posterior.

Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics
MathWorks (United States) (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Markov Chains and Monte Carlo Methods
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