Criticality-Aware World Models for Complex System Societal Change Prediction Integrating A Unified Framework With RL, LLM, Multi-Expert Dynamics, Early Warning Signals, and Causal Counterfactual Reasoning
A new AI-driven, unified probabilistic framework improves crisis prediction in complex systems by combining specialized neural networks to detect phase transitions, heavy-tailed dynamics, and critical tipping points. The system integrates an LLM-powered news encoder, early warning signals, and causal counterfactual analysis for enhanced, uncertainty-aware forecasting.
Authors
- L Sica Gabriel
Publication Details
- Journal
- Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
- Published
- 2026-07-16
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21396843
- Primary Topic
- Ecosystem dynamics and resilience
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00