Long-Term Predictors of Major Adverse Cerebrovascular and Cardiac Events After Successful Transradial Chronic Total Occlusion Recanalization: Five-Year Results of the TRACTOR Study

Background: Transradial access has become a preferred strategy for chronic total occlusion (CTO) percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) because of lower access site complication rates and increasing feasibility for complex CTO techniques using large-bore slender or sheathless systems. However, long-term outcomes after successful transradial CTO recanalization and their predictors remain incompletely defined. We aimed to identify long-term clinical and procedural predictors of major adverse cerebrovascular and cardiac events (MACCEs) after successful transradial CTO PCI. Methods: We performed a prospective dual-center cohort study including 227 consecutive patients who underwent successful transradial CTO PCI at two high-volume catheterization laboratories with dedicated CTO programs. A total of 405 CTO PCI procedures were screened; all femoral access cases were excluded and only transradial cases were eligible. Baseline clinical characteristics, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), lesion complexity including J-CTO score, coronary disease extent, and procedural variables were prospectively collected and/or verified from institutional databases. The primary endpoint was MACCEs, defined as a composite of all-cause death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, target vessel revascularization, and stroke/transient ischemic attack. Event rates were estimated using Kaplan–Meier methods. Predictors were explored using Cox proportional hazards regression with clinically relevant covariates and procedural characteristics entered into multivariable models. Results: Among 227 patients with successful transradial CTO recanalization and complete 5-year follow-up among survivors, cumulative MACCEs and all-cause mortality were 44.0% and 21.5%, respectively. In multivariable Cox analysis, prior myocardial infarction, right coronary artery target vessel, and a higher number of implanted stents were independently associated with increased MACCE risk, whereas previous PCI and preserved LVEF (≥40%) were associated with lower MACCE risk. For all-cause mortality, preserved LVEF was independently protective, while right coronary artery target vessel intervention was associated with increased mortality risk; severe chronic kidney disease showed a significant univariable association and remained a strong signal after multivariable adjustment. Conclusions: After successful transradial CTO PCI, long-term MACCEs appear to be driven primarily by baseline comorbidity and coronary disease burden. No deaths were related to access site bleeding, and vascular access was not associated with fatal complications. These findings contribute to personalized cardiovascular medicine by identifying readily available clinical, anatomical, and procedural factors that enable individualized long-term risk stratification following successful transradial CTO recanalization. Integrating these predictors into post-procedural assessment may support tailored secondary prevention, follow-up strategies, and patient management according to individual risk profiles.