Evaluation of coal mine methane inventory methods using aircraft-based approaches in the Bowen Basin, Australia
Abstract. Australia uses a blend of IPCC Tier 2 and 3 bottom-up approaches to estimate and report fugitive coal mine methane (CH4) emissions. To date, Tier 3 reporting for underground coal mines, which predominantly relies on direct measurements of ventilated air, has not been systematically assessed against top-down atmospheric measurements. Tier 2 coal core-based emission factors and Tier 3 model guidelines for estimating surface (open-cut) mine emissions similarly lack verification. Here, an in-situ and a remote sensing aircraft-based approach were used to quantify CH4 emission rates from 17 coal mines in the Bowen Basin, Australia. When compared to bottom-up mean annual reported estimates, airborne estimates from underground mines showed a non-significant mean positive bias of 0.28 t h−1 (p=0.28,n=8 estimates) and good agreement (normalised root mean squared error (NRMSE) = 0.20). When aggregated, top-down measured emissions from all underground mines were within 8 % of bottom-up reported totals. In contrast, aircraft-based estimates from surface mines showed a significant mean positive bias of 3.7 t h−1 CH4 (p=0.001,n=10 estimates) and poor agreement (NRMSE = 0.86). In aggregate, top-down emissions from all surface mines were 3.6 times the bottom-up totals. Alignment between airborne top-down and measured vented underground coal mine emissions increases confidence in Australia's Tier 3 direct monitoring methods, while the difference between top-down and bottom-up surface mine emission estimates suggests core-based methods require review. Given that surface mines in the Basin alone account for ∼38 % of national production, the contribution of coal mining to Australia's CH4 emissions may exceed the reported ∼19 %.
Authors
- Mei Bai (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0594-2067)
- Sven Krautwurst (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1671-7295)
- Jakob Borchardt (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2380-0823)
- Mark F. Lunt (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0827-2137)
- Wolfgang Lieff
- H. Bovensmann (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8882-4108)
- Mathias Lanoisellé (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3406-8022)
- James L. France (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8785-1240)
- Bryce F. J. Kelly (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0001-6350-2839)
- Rebecca Fisher (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9262-5467)
- Stephen J. Harris (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5211-3934)
- Konstantin Gerilowski (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0006-3154-9225)
- Hartmut Boesch (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3944-9879)
- Thomas Röckmann (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6688-8968)
- W. Junkermann (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7461-3024)
- Oke Huhs (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0003-9496-8572)
- Josua Schindewolf
- Shakti Chakravarty
- Andrew McGrath (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6243-941X)
- R. A. Field (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0228-1419)
- Carina van der Veen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6827-9616)
- John P. Burrows (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1547-8130)
- Tarra Brain
- Jakob Thoböll
- Adrian Murphy
- Zoe Salmon
- Jorg Hacker
- Martin Kumm
Institutions
- Jade University of Applied Sciences (DE)
- Alfred-Wegener-Institut Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung (DE)
- Environmental Defense Fund (US)
- The University of Melbourne (AU)
- Flinders University (AU)
- University of Applied Sciences Utrecht (NL)
- University of Bremen (DE)
- Royal Holloway University of London (GB)
- Utrecht University (NL)
- UNSW Sydney (AU)
- International Office for Water (FR)
- Airborne International (Netherlands) (NL)
- Environmental Earth Sciences (AU)
- Garmisch-Partenkirchen Medical Center (DE)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Atmospheric chemistry and physics
- Published
- 2026-07-16
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-10043-2026
- Primary Topic
- Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- European Space Agency
- Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft
- Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung