Urban Building Energy Modelling: From Fragmented Efforts to a Common Foundation

Urban Building Energy Modelling (UBEM) is increasingly recognised as a key tool for bridging building-scale analysis and city-level planning, supporting the decarbonisation of urban areas. It enables the assessment of building performance and the exploration of retrofit strategies, policy scenarios, and renewable integration. Over the past decade, UBEM has continuously evolved, encompassing physics-based, data-driven, and hybrid approaches, often supported by archetype generation and GIS workflows. Recent research also integrates microclimate, mobility, and green infrastructure. While this enriches analysis outcomes, it also leads to fragmentation, limiting tools’ comparability, transparency, and practical use by policymakers. This perspective paper provides a critical interpretation of the recent evolution in UBEM and proposes a goal-oriented classification of modelling approaches based on their final objectives rather than on calculation methodology. The paper also identifies three key gaps: the lack of scalable and consistent data frameworks, the absence of a shared terminology, and the need for criteria to assess whether models are “fit for purpose.” Addressing these issues through improved data infrastructures, conceptual clarity, and reliability assessment can support convergence without limiting innovation, fostering more robust and decision-relevant UBEM applications to support the energy transition.