Exact Confidence Intervals in Distributions with One Parameter

The Clopper–Pearson method of constructing a confidence interval for the probability of success in a binary population that follows a Bernoulli distribution is well known. This paper pedagogically justifies the Clopper–Pearson method and extends the method to all distributions with one parameter whose cumulative probability distribution functions are monotonically continuous with respect to their single parameter. The conservativeness of Clopper–Pearson confidence intervals is proved analytically. Clopper–Pearson confidence intervals are constructed for Poisson, geometric, non-central hyper-geometric, and exponential, etc. It turns out that such extensions result in various well-known confidence intervals in the literature.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Foundations
Published
2026-07-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/foundations6030028
Primary Topic
Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Exact Confidence Intervals in Distributions with One Parameter

Xianggui Qu
Foundations
Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
article

Exact Confidence Intervals in Distributions with One Parameter

Xianggui Qu
article en

Abstract

The Clopper–Pearson method of constructing a confidence interval for the probability of success in a binary population that follows a Bernoulli distribution is well known. This paper pedagogically justifies the Clopper–Pearson method and extends the method to all distributions with one parameter whose cumulative probability distribution functions are monotonically continuous with respect to their single parameter. The conservativeness of Clopper–Pearson confidence intervals is proved analytically. Clopper–Pearson confidence intervals are constructed for Poisson, geometric, non-central hyper-geometric, and exponential, etc. It turns out that such extensions result in various well-known confidence intervals in the literature.

FoundationsVol. 6(3)
Oakland University (US)
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.