Trust in the courts of Hong Kong: Levels, dynamics, and sources

Using five waves of Asian Barometer Surveys (2001–2021), this study reveals that judicial trust in Hong Kong rose until 2012 but declined from 2016 to 2021, alongside a weakening association with democratic values. After the introduction of the National Security Law (NSL), judicial trust among pro-establishment residents increased. In contrast, the difference-in-differences analysis reveals that the NSL and its subsequent cases reduced judicial trust among both proactive and moderate pro-democracy residents, with the latter undergoing a more gradual decline. The findings indicate a widening gap in judicial trust among residents with different political orientations after the introduction of the NSL.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Asian and African Studies
Published
2026-07-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/00219096261455335
Primary Topic
Hong Kong and Taiwan Politics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Trust in the courts of Hong Kong: Levels, dynamics, and sources

Shen Yang, Zhiyuan Ding
Journal of Asian and African Studies
Hong Kong and Taiwan Politics
article

Trust in the courts of Hong Kong: Levels, dynamics, and sources

Shen Yang, Zhiyuan Ding
article en

Abstract

Using five waves of Asian Barometer Surveys (2001–2021), this study reveals that judicial trust in Hong Kong rose until 2012 but declined from 2016 to 2021, alongside a weakening association with democratic values. After the introduction of the National Security Law (NSL), judicial trust among pro-establishment residents increased. In contrast, the difference-in-differences analysis reveals that the NSL and its subsequent cases reduced judicial trust among both proactive and moderate pro-democracy residents, with the latter undergoing a more gradual decline. The findings indicate a widening gap in judicial trust among residents with different political orientations after the introduction of the NSL.

Journal of Asian and African Studies
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 3%
Hong Kong and Taiwan Politics
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