A Century of Macroeconomic Changes through the Prism of the "Production — Attention — Information" Triad

UDC 338.12:316.774:004.8 JEL: E32, O33, L86, D83 This article proposes a macrostructural framework for understanding the evolution of the global economic system through the dynamic interaction of three factors: Production (P), Information (I), and Attention (A) — the cognitive resource of human capital, also associated with the growth or contraction of consumption. Historical cycles of capitalism are examined not merely as monetary or production imbalances, but as a sequential shift of systemic deficits within the P/A/I triad, driven by the decisive role of information technologies in resolving crises and shifting technological paradigms throughout the twentieth century and to the present day. The central thesis highlights the observation that, since the 1920s, the structural trigger—paving the way for other anti-crisis measures or significantly bolstering them—has consistently been a new information architecture — radio, television, the personal computer, the internet, the smartphone, generative AI — each of which resolved the prevailing deficit within the triad and thereby unlocked accumulated productive capacity. The article further advances a prognostic thesis: in the 2030s, the systemic deficit shifts to information indexed by Trust (It), opening the prospect of a new economic order in which verifiable humanity becomes the scarcest and most valuable resource across all three factors.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-07-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21136581
Primary Topic
Innovation, Sustainability, Human-Machine Systems
Type
article
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article

A Century of Macroeconomic Changes through the Prism of the "Production — Attention — Information" Triad

Daniil I. Litvinenko
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Innovation, Sustainability, Human-Machine Systems
article

A Century of Macroeconomic Changes through the Prism of the "Production — Attention — Information" Triad

Daniil I. Litvinenko
article en

Abstract

UDC 338.12:316.774:004.8 JEL: E32, O33, L86, D83 This article proposes a macrostructural framework for understanding the evolution of the global economic system through the dynamic interaction of three factors: Production (P), Information (I), and Attention (A) — the cognitive resource of human capital, also associated with the growth or contraction of consumption. Historical cycles of capitalism are examined not merely as monetary or production imbalances, but as a sequential shift of systemic deficits within the P/A/I triad, driven by the decisive role of information technologies in resolving crises and shifting technological paradigms throughout the twentieth century and to the present day. The central thesis highlights the observation that, since the 1920s, the structural trigger—paving the way for other anti-crisis measures or significantly bolstering them—has consistently been a new information architecture — radio, television, the personal computer, the internet, the smartphone, generative AI — each of which resolved the prevailing deficit within the triad and thereby unlocked accumulated productive capacity. The article further advances a prognostic thesis: in the 2030s, the systemic deficit shifts to information indexed by Trust (It), opening the prospect of a new economic order in which verifiable humanity becomes the scarcest and most valuable resource across all three factors.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 3%
Innovation, Sustainability, Human-Machine Systems
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