Data-Driven Multi-Sensor Early Warning and Risk-Oriented Prognostics for Lithium-Ion Battery Thermal Runaway

This study focuses on the thermal runaway (TR) risk of lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) and explores data-driven multi-sensor early warning and risk-oriented prognostics based on the intrinsic thermal behavior of batteries. A framework is proposed to support health information extraction using multi-sensor monitoring data, where data-driven approaches are adopted to address multicollinearity among parameters and explore their synergistic effects. The identified health-related features help characterize abnormal behavior and model health index propagation under TR evolution, which support the design of warning points and estimation of remaining time before TR (time-to-TR). The framework is validated through a designed experiment, where the Accelerating Rate Calorimeter (ARC) is employed to create adiabatic conditions for LIBs. The experiment helps minimize external impacts during TR evolution and validate the framework according to the intrinsic characteristics of batteries related to TR risks. The results from Leave-One-Sample-Out cross-validation preliminarily demonstrate the application potential of identified feature behavior patterns in early warning and risk-oriented prognostics. The integration of these functions can enhance the current TR risk management solutions, transforming monitoring data into decision support information for proactive risk mitigation.