Life cycle cost estimation in product-service systems: a review of machine learning methods

ABSTRACT: Cost planning for Product-Service Systems faces rising complexity, making life-cycle cost estimates essential. This paper investigates how machine learning (ML) can be applied for life-cycle cost estimation in product development. A literature review was conducted to identify ML-based methods, classify them across life cycle phases, and compare them against traditional methods. Results show that traditional models remain transparent but limited in early stages, while ML methods achieve higher accuracy in data-rich phases. A clear research gap exists for hybrid models and end-of-life costing.

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Publication Details

Journal
Proceedings of the Design Society
Published
2026-07-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1017/pds.2026.10609
Primary Topic
Life Cycle Costing Analysis
Type
article
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article

Life cycle cost estimation in product-service systems: a review of machine learning methods

Johanna Wurst, Roland Lachmayer, Daniel Rosemann, Tobias Löffelholz
Proceedings of the Design Society
Life Cycle Costing Analysis
article

Life cycle cost estimation in product-service systems: a review of machine learning methods

Johanna Wurst, Roland Lachmayer, Daniel Rosemann, Tobias Löffelholz
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT: Cost planning for Product-Service Systems faces rising complexity, making life-cycle cost estimates essential. This paper investigates how machine learning (ML) can be applied for life-cycle cost estimation in product development. A literature review was conducted to identify ML-based methods, classify them across life cycle phases, and compare them against traditional methods. Results show that traditional models remain transparent but limited in early stages, while ML methods achieve higher accuracy in data-rich phases. A clear research gap exists for hybrid models and end-of-life costing.

Proceedings of the Design SocietyVol. 6
Leibniz University Hannover (DE)
Responsible consumption and production
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Life Cycle Costing Analysis
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