Deep learning-based time-series model for predicting high-temperature oxidation behavior in austenitic heat-resistant steels

Austenitic heat-resistant steels (AHSs) are widely used in high-temperature components, and their oxidation resistance at high temperature is closely related to long-term service reliability. However, high-temperature oxidation is an intrinsically complex, nonlinear, strongly time-dependent, and multi-stage process, making accurate prediction of oxidation kinetics challenging. In this work, an attention-enhanced bidirectional long short-term memory (Bi-LSTM) framework is proposed to predict oxidation mass gain of AHSs in dry air. The model integrates static compositional descriptors with dynamic time-series inputs, enabling the extraction of sequence-dependent features, while an attention mechanism adaptively emphasizes critical temporal information. The developed model achieves high predictive accuracy in a representative run ( R ² = 0.9524), outperforming traditional machine learning models and the baseline LSTM model. The framework provides a practical data-driven sequence modeling method for long-term lifetime assessment and design of AHSs, and offers a transferable methodological basis for other alloy systems with complex time-varying processes.

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Publication Details

Journal
npj Materials Degradation
Published
2026-07-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41529-026-00832-6
Primary Topic
High-Temperature Coating Behaviors
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Deep learning-based time-series model for predicting high-temperature oxidation behavior in austenitic heat-resistant steels

Hongyun Zhao, Junheng Gao, Shuize Wang, Xinping Mao et al.
npj Materials Degradation
High-Temperature Coating Behaviors
article

Deep learning-based time-series model for predicting high-temperature oxidation behavior in austenitic heat-resistant steels

Hongyun Zhao, Junheng Gao, Shuize Wang, Xinping Mao, Dexin Zhu, Z Y Li, H B Wu, C ZHANG, Jun Lu, Tongbo Jiang, Chunlei Shang, Yuhe Huang
article en

Abstract

Austenitic heat-resistant steels (AHSs) are widely used in high-temperature components, and their oxidation resistance at high temperature is closely related to long-term service reliability. However, high-temperature oxidation is an intrinsically complex, nonlinear, strongly time-dependent, and multi-stage process, making accurate prediction of oxidation kinetics challenging. In this work, an attention-enhanced bidirectional long short-term memory (Bi-LSTM) framework is proposed to predict oxidation mass gain of AHSs in dry air. The model integrates static compositional descriptors with dynamic time-series inputs, enabling the extraction of sequence-dependent features, while an attention mechanism adaptively emphasizes critical temporal information. The developed model achieves high predictive accuracy in a representative run ( R ² = 0.9524), outperforming traditional machine learning models and the baseline LSTM model. The framework provides a practical data-driven sequence modeling method for long-term lifetime assessment and design of AHSs, and offers a transferable methodological basis for other alloy systems with complex time-varying processes.

npj Materials Degradation
Liaoning Academy of Materials, University of Science and Technology Beijing (CN)
University of Science and Technology Beijing, National Science and Technology Major Project, Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
High-Temperature Coating Behaviors
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