Statistical footprints in corruption measurement: general approach, with application to automobile license plates in Russia

We offer a novel big data approach to corruption measurement by using statistical anomalies in publicly observable allocations affected by corruption. While individual corruption incidents remain undetectable, systemic corruption leaves measurable statistical footprints by affecting distributions of observable outcomes. We apply our approach to measuring corruption in the Russian traffic police, which issues automobile licence plates. Plates that signal status are found to be excessively concentrated among upmarket and luxurious classes and brands. We use these discrepancies to measure traffic police corruption, and discuss the potential of such approach in assessing the scale of abuse of power for private gains.

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Publication Details

Journal
Public Management Review
Published
2026-07-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/14719037.2026.2687004
Primary Topic
Imbalanced Data Classification Techniques
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Statistical footprints in corruption measurement: general approach, with application to automobile license plates in Russia

Tom Eeckhout, Kevin Hoefman, Koen Schoors, Leonid Polishchuk et al.
Public Management Review
Imbalanced Data Classification Techniques
article

Statistical footprints in corruption measurement: general approach, with application to automobile license plates in Russia

Tom Eeckhout, Kevin Hoefman, Koen Schoors, Leonid Polishchuk, Timur Natkhov
article en

Abstract

We offer a novel big data approach to corruption measurement by using statistical anomalies in publicly observable allocations affected by corruption. While individual corruption incidents remain undetectable, systemic corruption leaves measurable statistical footprints by affecting distributions of observable outcomes. We apply our approach to measuring corruption in the Russian traffic police, which issues automobile licence plates. Plates that signal status are found to be excessively concentrated among upmarket and luxurious classes and brands. We use these discrepancies to measure traffic police corruption, and discuss the potential of such approach in assessing the scale of abuse of power for private gains.

Public Management Review
National Research University Higher School of Economics (RU), Ghent University Hospital (BE), Indiana University (US)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Imbalanced Data Classification Techniques
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Statistical footprints in corruption measurement: general approach, with application to automobile license plates in Russia — Tom Eeckhout, Kevin Hoefman, et al. · Public Management Review (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS