The effect of non-identifiability of sampling design in the inference from non-probability samples

Abstract A major concern with the use of non-probability samples is their lack of representativeness that, if not accounted for properly, may lead to large bias in survey estimates. Non-probability samples involve subjective methods for sample selection, so that inclusion probabilities are unknown and it is not possible to apply the traditional randomization theory for inference on the population parameters. In this paper, the uncertainty in survey estimates resulting from the non-identifiability of the sampling design acting in the non-probability sample, as well as its reduction due to availability of extra-sample information, is discussed. Next, the effect of non-identifiability on survey estimates accuracy is evaluated. Finally, an application to real enterprise data from Italy is performed.

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Publication Details

Journal
Statistical Methods & Applications
Published
2026-06-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10260-026-00864-x
Primary Topic
Survey Methodology and Nonresponse
Type
article
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article

The effect of non-identifiability of sampling design in the inference from non-probability samples

Pier Luigi Conti, Donato Summa, Daniela Marella
Statistical Methods & Applications
Survey Methodology and Nonresponse
article

The effect of non-identifiability of sampling design in the inference from non-probability samples

Pier Luigi Conti, Donato Summa, Daniela Marella
article en

Abstract

Abstract A major concern with the use of non-probability samples is their lack of representativeness that, if not accounted for properly, may lead to large bias in survey estimates. Non-probability samples involve subjective methods for sample selection, so that inclusion probabilities are unknown and it is not possible to apply the traditional randomization theory for inference on the population parameters. In this paper, the uncertainty in survey estimates resulting from the non-identifiability of the sampling design acting in the non-probability sample, as well as its reduction due to availability of extra-sample information, is discussed. Next, the effect of non-identifiability on survey estimates accuracy is evaluated. Finally, an application to real enterprise data from Italy is performed.

Statistical Methods & Applications
Istituto Nazionale di Statistica (IT), Sapienza University of Rome (IT)
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Survey Methodology and Nonresponse
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