Solar irradiation time series forecasting for Wireless Sensor Networks via hybrid BiLSTM–1D CNN and feature-enriched inputs

Energy sustainability in Wireless Sensor Networks (WSNs) remains a critical challenge, particularly in remote or inaccessible environments where battery replacement is impractical. Solar energy harvesting offers a promising and renewable alternative; however, its inherent intermittency and variability require accurate forecasting to enable efficient energy management and system reliability. In this work, we propose a comprehensive solar irradiance forecasting framework based on 20 years of hourly data, integrating advanced feature engineering and hybrid predictive modeling. To enhance signal quality and capture multi-scale temporal characteristics, a set of complementary time-series smoothing techniques — Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA), and Hull Moving Average (HMA) — is employed to preprocess the raw data. The core contribution is a hybrid BiLSTM–1D CNN–XGBoost architecture, designed to jointly exploit long-term temporal dependencies, short-term local patterns, and nonlinear residual relationships. Specifically, the 1D-CNN extracts local temporal features, the BiLSTM captures bidirectional long-range dependencies, and XGBoost operates on the learned feature space to refine predictions through gradient-boosted regression. The proposed model is extensively evaluated against several baseline approaches, including ARIMA, 1D-CNN, LSTM, BiLSTM, and GRU. Experimental results demonstrate that the hybrid framework significantly improves forecasting accuracy and robustness across multiple evaluation metrics. This study contributes to the literature by introducing a feature-enriched hybrid forecasting strategy tailored for solar-powered WSNs, providing a practical and scalable solution for proactive energy-aware management in IoT and edge-based systems.

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Publication Details

Journal
Engineering Science and Technology an International Journal
Published
2026-06-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jestch.2026.102433
Primary Topic
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Solar irradiation time series forecasting for Wireless Sensor Networks via hybrid BiLSTM–1D CNN and feature-enriched inputs

Toufik Bakir, Abdellah Elzaar, Wahabou Abdou, François Delmas et al.
Engineering Science and Technology an International Journal
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
article

Solar irradiation time series forecasting for Wireless Sensor Networks via hybrid BiLSTM–1D CNN and feature-enriched inputs

Toufik Bakir, Abdellah Elzaar, Wahabou Abdou, François Delmas, Abdelheq Kouadri-Boudjelthia
article en

Abstract

Energy sustainability in Wireless Sensor Networks (WSNs) remains a critical challenge, particularly in remote or inaccessible environments where battery replacement is impractical. Solar energy harvesting offers a promising and renewable alternative; however, its inherent intermittency and variability require accurate forecasting to enable efficient energy management and system reliability. In this work, we propose a comprehensive solar irradiance forecasting framework based on 20 years of hourly data, integrating advanced feature engineering and hybrid predictive modeling. To enhance signal quality and capture multi-scale temporal characteristics, a set of complementary time-series smoothing techniques — Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA), and Hull Moving Average (HMA) — is employed to preprocess the raw data. The core contribution is a hybrid BiLSTM–1D CNN–XGBoost architecture, designed to jointly exploit long-term temporal dependencies, short-term local patterns, and nonlinear residual relationships. Specifically, the 1D-CNN extracts local temporal features, the BiLSTM captures bidirectional long-range dependencies, and XGBoost operates on the learned feature space to refine predictions through gradient-boosted regression. The proposed model is extensively evaluated against several baseline approaches, including ARIMA, 1D-CNN, LSTM, BiLSTM, and GRU. Experimental results demonstrate that the hybrid framework significantly improves forecasting accuracy and robustness across multiple evaluation metrics. This study contributes to the literature by introducing a feature-enriched hybrid forecasting strategy tailored for solar-powered WSNs, providing a practical and scalable solution for proactive energy-aware management in IoT and edge-based systems.

Engineering Science and Technology an International JournalVol. 80
Université de Bourgogne (FR), Centre Hospitalier Jean-Rostand (FR)
Université de Bourgogne
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
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