High-rate phase association with travel time neural fields
Earthquake science and seismology rely on phase association: grouping seismic arrivals recorded across multiple stations into the earthquakes that generated them. Modern deep-learning detectors now routinely identify many more small events than before, providing information about fault dynamics on increasingly fine spatiotemporal scales. But the resulting high-rate arrival sequences are increasingly difficult to associate, especially when local wave speeds are heterogeneous or poorly known. Here we introduce HARPA, a phase-association framework that represents observed and predicted arrival sequences as probability distributions and compares them using an optimal-transport metric. HARPA jointly estimates earthquake locations, origin times and a low-dimensional representation of the wave-speed field using travel-time neural fields, neural networks that map coordinates to travel times. On standard low-rate datasets with simple wave speed, HARPA performs comparably to state-of-the-art associators. At high rates and with laterally heterogeneous or unknown wave speed, HARPA outperforms existing methods. Our results show that adaptive travel-time modeling becomes important when seismicity is dense and suggest a route toward joint association and passive-source tomography from unassociated arrivals. This study introduces HARPA, a high-rate seismic phase association framework based on an optimal-transport metric. It jointly estimates earthquake parameters and wave-speed structure from dense, overlapping arrivals and opens a path to passive-source seismic tomography.
Authors
- Ivan Dokmanić (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7132-5214)
- Cheng Shi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5165-6972)
- Giulio Poggiali (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0008-4723-5954)
- Chris Marone
- Maarten V. de Hoop
Institutions
- Pennsylvania State University (US)
- University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (US)
- University of Basel (CH)
- Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (FR)
- École Normale Supérieure (BI)
- Department of Biomedicine Basel (CH)
- Rice University (US)
- Sapienza University of Rome (IT)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Nature Communications
- Published
- 2026-06-30
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-74092-y
- Primary Topic
- Seismology and Earthquake Studies
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00