Tuberculosis and Post-Tuberculosis Lung Changes Are Associated with Exacerbations and Mortality in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Study

Background: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and tuberculosis (TB) are among the most prevalent respiratory disorders worldwide and frequently coexist in the same patient. However, the contribution of active TB and post-tuberculosis lung disease to COPD exacerbations and long-term prognosis remains incompletely defined. Objective: To evaluate the prevalence, clinical correlates, and prognostic significance of tuberculosis and its sequelae in patients with COPD. Materials and methods: We conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study using de-identified data from the regional healthcare information system. The cohort included all adults aged 18 years or older with a recorded diagnosis of COPD (ICD-10 code J44). Tuberculosis was identified by codes A15–A19 and B90. The primary outcomes were COPD exacerbations and all-cause mortality. Group comparisons, cluster analysis, Kaplan–Meier survival analysis, Cox proportional hazards modeling, and multivariable logistic regression were performed. Results: Tuberculosis and/or its sequelae were identified in 267 of 16,714 patients (1.60%): post-TB sequelae (B90) in 197 (73.8%), active TB (A15–A19) in 22 (8.2%), and both in 48 (18.0%). Compared with patients without TB, those with COPD-TB were younger (63.5 ± 14.2 vs. 65.7 ± 14.7 years; p = 0.018), more often male (75.3% vs. 52.0%; p < 0.001), and had higher mortality (16.5% vs. 10.6%; p = 0.003). COPD-TB was associated with bronchiectasis (OR = 6.07; 95% CI, 3.03–12.16), pulmonary fibrosis (OR = 5.67; 95% CI, 3.40–9.45), and pneumonia (OR = 2.01; 95% CI, 1.50–2.71), but with lower prevalences of obesity, diabetes mellitus, and hypertension. Patients with TB experienced more COPD exacerbations, including recurrent exacerbations. In multivariable models, tuberculosis was associated with COPD exacerbations after adjustment for age and sex (adjusted OR = 1.43; 95% CI, 1.05–1.96); this association was attenuated and lost significance after further adjustment for post-tuberculosis structural lung disease, indicating that it is largely mediated by post-TB sequelae. Tuberculosis remained associated with mortality after adjustment for available covariates, both in logistic regression (adjusted OR = 1.61; 95% CI, 1.14–2.28) and in Cox analysis (hazard ratio = 1.37; 95% CI, 1.01–1.85). Conclusions: Tuberculosis and post-tuberculosis lung disease are clinically accessible risk markers associated with COPD exacerbations and mortality. These findings support recognizing patients with COPD and a history of TB as a high-risk subgroup requiring intensified follow-up, proactive exacerbation prevention, and prioritized vaccination counseling. In the context of personalized medicine, a documented history of tuberculosis and post-tuberculosis lung changes represents a clinically accessible marker that can be used to stratify individual risk and to tailor monitoring and prevention in patients with COPD.