The energy production hierarchy: Which renewable technology should we install first?

To sustain modern society, the energy sector must maintain an Energy Return On Investment (EROI) ratio of ~15:1. With the imminent switch to renewable energy, this paper compares the EROI of photovoltaic, concentrated solar power, wind, hydropower, and geothermal energy for all European Union countries (EU27). The results show that only 8 countries currently have what could be described as an “optimum” renewable energy strategy – i.e., where the technology with the highest EROI and highest energy generation potential has the largest share of total renewable energy generation. More positively, 23 countries can produce their current electricity demand through renewable technologies whilst also maintaining the minimum EROI (~15:1). Notably, this entails that four countries are unable to do so – lending some support to the need for a collaborative approach in our energy transition and the necessity to “downscale” modern societies so that they can operate within their ecological ceiling.

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Publication Details

Journal
Energy Sources Part B Economics Planning and Policy
Published
2026-06-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/15567249.2026.2691922
Primary Topic
Global Energy and Sustainability Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

The energy production hierarchy: Which renewable technology should we install first?

Bashar Al Shawa
Energy Sources Part B Economics Planning and Policy
Global Energy and Sustainability Research
article

The energy production hierarchy: Which renewable technology should we install first?

Bashar Al Shawa
article en

Abstract

To sustain modern society, the energy sector must maintain an Energy Return On Investment (EROI) ratio of ~15:1. With the imminent switch to renewable energy, this paper compares the EROI of photovoltaic, concentrated solar power, wind, hydropower, and geothermal energy for all European Union countries (EU27). The results show that only 8 countries currently have what could be described as an “optimum” renewable energy strategy – i.e., where the technology with the highest EROI and highest energy generation potential has the largest share of total renewable energy generation. More positively, 23 countries can produce their current electricity demand through renewable technologies whilst also maintaining the minimum EROI (~15:1). Notably, this entails that four countries are unable to do so – lending some support to the need for a collaborative approach in our energy transition and the necessity to “downscale” modern societies so that they can operate within their ecological ceiling.

Energy Sources Part B Economics Planning and PolicyVol. 21(1)
Scientific Consulting Group (US)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 19%
Global Energy and Sustainability Research
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