Twelve Prompts to Know You: The Inversion Point Where AI Models Users Better Than They Model Themselves

Every conversation with a large language model is bidirectional: the user extracts answers, and the system extracts behavioral signal. We introduce the inversion point, the threshold at which an AI system predicts a user's behavior more accurately than the user's own self-model can. Analyzing 128,575 messages from 7,159 users in the OpenAssistant OASST2 corpus, we find this threshold is 12 messages. Specifically: (1) stable behavioral personas emerge after 10 messages (cosine similarity 0.91); (2) bigram topic-transition models predict the next topic at 45.4% accuracy, 7.7x above chance; (3) a single message identifies its author from 100 candidates at 31.5x above random; (4) when confident, the system is correct 97.6% of the time; and (5) users grow more predictable with continued use. These results use only statistical methods, making them a conservative floor. We propose governance mechanisms including the right to unpredictability and mandatory diversity injection beyond the inversion point.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-06-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21021545
Primary Topic
Authorship Attribution and Profiling
Type
preprint
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preprint

Twelve Prompts to Know You: The Inversion Point Where AI Models Users Better Than They Model Themselves

Aditya Kopalli
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Authorship Attribution and Profiling
preprint

Twelve Prompts to Know You: The Inversion Point Where AI Models Users Better Than They Model Themselves

Aditya Kopalli
preprint en

Abstract

Every conversation with a large language model is bidirectional: the user extracts answers, and the system extracts behavioral signal. We introduce the inversion point, the threshold at which an AI system predicts a user's behavior more accurately than the user's own self-model can. Analyzing 128,575 messages from 7,159 users in the OpenAssistant OASST2 corpus, we find this threshold is 12 messages. Specifically: (1) stable behavioral personas emerge after 10 messages (cosine similarity 0.91); (2) bigram topic-transition models predict the next topic at 45.4% accuracy, 7.7x above chance; (3) a single message identifies its author from 100 candidates at 31.5x above random; (4) when confident, the system is correct 97.6% of the time; and (5) users grow more predictable with continued use. These results use only statistical methods, making them a conservative floor. We propose governance mechanisms including the right to unpredictability and mandatory diversity injection beyond the inversion point.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Authorship Attribution and Profiling
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