Change-point detection based on Wilcoxon type U-statistic and block wild bootstrap

This paper considers U-statistics with the Block Wild Bootstrap (BWB) to detect change points in the mean of time series.While the conventional CUSUM test is widely used, its performance deteriorates in the presence of autocorrelation, non-normality or outliers, often resulting in substantial size distortion.In contrast, the proposed BWB Wilcoxon type U-statistic test is more robust to non-normality and outliers.It maintains stable size control and high statistical power across various challenging settings, including those with strong autocorrelation and extreme observations.In particular, when strong outliers are present, the BWB procedure alleviates the conservative tendency of the classical U-statistic and substantially improves its finite-sample performance.This study offers a practical alternative to existing methods for detecting change points in time series with complex dependence structures or data irregularities.

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Publication Details

Journal
Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
Published
2026-06-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5351/kjas.2026.39.3.271
Primary Topic
Statistical Methods and Inference
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Change-point detection based on Wilcoxon type U-statistic and block wild bootstrap

Changryong Baek, J L Lee
Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
Statistical Methods and Inference
article

Change-point detection based on Wilcoxon type U-statistic and block wild bootstrap

Changryong Baek, J L Lee
article en

Abstract

This paper considers U-statistics with the Block Wild Bootstrap (BWB) to detect change points in the mean of time series.While the conventional CUSUM test is widely used, its performance deteriorates in the presence of autocorrelation, non-normality or outliers, often resulting in substantial size distortion.In contrast, the proposed BWB Wilcoxon type U-statistic test is more robust to non-normality and outliers.It maintains stable size control and high statistical power across various challenging settings, including those with strong autocorrelation and extreme observations.In particular, when strong outliers are present, the BWB procedure alleviates the conservative tendency of the classical U-statistic and substantially improves its finite-sample performance.This study offers a practical alternative to existing methods for detecting change points in time series with complex dependence structures or data irregularities.

Korean Journal of Applied StatisticsVol. 39(3)
Sungkyunkwan University (KR)
National Research Foundation, National Research Foundation of Korea, Ministry of Science and ICT, South Korea
Climate action, Zero hunger
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Statistical Methods and Inference
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Change-point detection based on Wilcoxon type U-statistic and block wild bootstrap — Changryong Baek, J L Lee · Korean Journal of Applied Statistics (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS