Household mobility responses to weather extremes in Kyrgyzstan

Weather extremes increasingly shape human mobility, yet their effects differ across households and locations. We advance understanding of climate-related mobility by distinguishing among four outcomes: domestic mobility, international mobility, combined domestic-international mobility, and immobility, rather than treating mobility as a simple binary choice. Focusing on Kyrgyzstan, a climate-vulnerable mountainous country in Central Asia, we combine nationally representative household panel data from 2013-2022 with high-resolution climate data. Here, we show that weather extremes, both within districts and in neighboring districts, are more strongly associated with international mobility and immobility than with domestic and combined domestic-international mobility. Responses differ substantially across households' socioeconomic position, with immobility more common among households with lower socioeconomic position and more diverse mobility patterns observed among households with higher socioeconomic position. Our findings suggest that mobility responses to weather extremes in Kyrgyzstan are shaped by both geographic context and household socioeconomic position.

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Publication Details

Journal
Nature Communications
Published
2026-06-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-75052-2
Primary Topic
Climate Change, Adaptation, Migration
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Household mobility responses to weather extremes in Kyrgyzstan

Atabek Umirbekov, Nodir Djanibekov, Thomas Herzfeld, Barchynai Kimsanova et al.
Nature Communications
Climate Change, Adaptation, Migration
article

Household mobility responses to weather extremes in Kyrgyzstan

Atabek Umirbekov, Nodir Djanibekov, Thomas Herzfeld, Barchynai Kimsanova, Daniel Müller, Kathleen Hermans
article en

Abstract

Weather extremes increasingly shape human mobility, yet their effects differ across households and locations. We advance understanding of climate-related mobility by distinguishing among four outcomes: domestic mobility, international mobility, combined domestic-international mobility, and immobility, rather than treating mobility as a simple binary choice. Focusing on Kyrgyzstan, a climate-vulnerable mountainous country in Central Asia, we combine nationally representative household panel data from 2013-2022 with high-resolution climate data. Here, we show that weather extremes, both within districts and in neighboring districts, are more strongly associated with international mobility and immobility than with domestic and combined domestic-international mobility. Responses differ substantially across households' socioeconomic position, with immobility more common among households with lower socioeconomic position and more diverse mobility patterns observed among households with higher socioeconomic position. Our findings suggest that mobility responses to weather extremes in Kyrgyzstan are shaped by both geographic context and household socioeconomic position.

Nature CommunicationsVol. 17(1)
Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin (DE), Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (DE), Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg (DE)
Volkswagen Foundation
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Climate Change, Adaptation, Migration
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