Risk of incident tuberculosis after severe COVID-19: a nationwide cohort study

Severe viral infections can disrupt host immunity and increase susceptibility to secondary pathogens. Experimental and preclinical studies suggest that severe viral pneumonia may also trigger reactivation of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection, yet population-level evidence remains limited. We conducted a nationwide retrospective cohort study in Chile, including more than 3.6 million adults with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, to assess the risk of incident tuberculosis during follow-up. Individuals who developed severe COVID-19 requiring hospitalization had more than an eightfold higher hazard of tuberculosis within one year compared with those with non-severe disease. SARS-CoV-2 vaccination modified this association: the excess risk was substantially greater among unvaccinated individuals, whereas prior vaccination attenuated it. These findings indicate that severe COVID-19 is associated with an increased short- and long-term risk of tuberculosis and support the integration of targeted tuberculosis screening and preventive strategies into post-COVID-19 care, particularly among patients with severe disease.

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Publication Details

Journal
Nature Communications
Published
2026-06-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-74528-5
Primary Topic
Tuberculosis Research and Epidemiology
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Risk of incident tuberculosis after severe COVID-19: a nationwide cohort study

María Elvira Balcells, Kasim Allel, Eduardo A. Undurraga, Nadia Escobar et al.
Nature Communications
Tuberculosis Research and Epidemiology
article

Risk of incident tuberculosis after severe COVID-19: a nationwide cohort study

María Elvira Balcells, Kasim Allel, Eduardo A. Undurraga, Nadia Escobar, Lourdes García‐García, Luís Villarroel, Salvador Vargas-García, Natalia Vergara, Christian García
article en

Abstract

Severe viral infections can disrupt host immunity and increase susceptibility to secondary pathogens. Experimental and preclinical studies suggest that severe viral pneumonia may also trigger reactivation of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection, yet population-level evidence remains limited. We conducted a nationwide retrospective cohort study in Chile, including more than 3.6 million adults with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, to assess the risk of incident tuberculosis during follow-up. Individuals who developed severe COVID-19 requiring hospitalization had more than an eightfold higher hazard of tuberculosis within one year compared with those with non-severe disease. SARS-CoV-2 vaccination modified this association: the excess risk was substantially greater among unvaccinated individuals, whereas prior vaccination attenuated it. These findings indicate that severe COVID-19 is associated with an increased short- and long-term risk of tuberculosis and support the integration of targeted tuberculosis screening and preventive strategies into post-COVID-19 care, particularly among patients with severe disease.

Nature Communications
Universidad de Santiago de Chile (CL), Universidad Autónoma de Ciudad Juárez (MX), Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile (CL), National University of Computer and Emerging Sciences (PK), University of Oxford (GB), Instituto de Salud Pública de Chile (CL), Ministry of Health (CL), Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública (MX)
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo, Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Científico y Tecnológico
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Tuberculosis Research and Epidemiology
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