Heat and Mass Transfer Around a Viral Load: Mathematical Modelling of Respiratory Droplet Evaporation

The COVID-19 pandemic renewed scientific interest in the physics of respiratory droplet transmission. This work presents a mathematical model for heat and mass transfer around an isolated liquid droplet carrying a viral load, ejected from an infected host during coughing or sneezing. Under a quasi-stationary framework with spherical symmetry, coupled mass and energy balance equations are solved for both steady-state and transient regimes. Two limiting cases are treated — low and high mass-transfer rates — yielding closed-form expressions for the droplet lifetime td. Numerical applications for summer (T∞ = 25 °C) and winter (T∞ = 18 °C) ambient conditions over a range of relative humidities (30–80 %) and droplet equilibrium temperatures (18–32 °C) are reported for an initial diameter D0 = 10 μm. Results show that lower relative humidity accelerates evaporation, and that the transient thermal regime is 55–110 times shorter than the evaporation lifetime, confirming the quasi-stationary assumption. A complete parametric results table is provided.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-06-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20961227
Primary Topic
Infection Control and Ventilation
Type
preprint
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preprint

Heat and Mass Transfer Around a Viral Load: Mathematical Modelling of Respiratory Droplet Evaporation

Hamza Hossani, Hafsa Batak
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Infection Control and Ventilation
preprint

Heat and Mass Transfer Around a Viral Load: Mathematical Modelling of Respiratory Droplet Evaporation

Hamza Hossani, Hafsa Batak
preprint en

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic renewed scientific interest in the physics of respiratory droplet transmission. This work presents a mathematical model for heat and mass transfer around an isolated liquid droplet carrying a viral load, ejected from an infected host during coughing or sneezing. Under a quasi-stationary framework with spherical symmetry, coupled mass and energy balance equations are solved for both steady-state and transient regimes. Two limiting cases are treated — low and high mass-transfer rates — yielding closed-form expressions for the droplet lifetime td. Numerical applications for summer (T∞ = 25 °C) and winter (T∞ = 18 °C) ambient conditions over a range of relative humidities (30–80 %) and droplet equilibrium temperatures (18–32 °C) are reported for an initial diameter D0 = 10 μm. Results show that lower relative humidity accelerates evaporation, and that the transient thermal regime is 55–110 times shorter than the evaporation lifetime, confirming the quasi-stationary assumption. A complete parametric results table is provided.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Good health and well-being
Infection Control and Ventilation
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Heat and Mass Transfer Around a Viral Load: Mathematical Modelling of Respiratory Droplet Evaporation — Hamza Hossani, Hafsa Batak · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS