Drivers of 2023–2024 Atmospheric CO <sub>2</sub> Growth: Role of Northern Mid‐to‐High Latitude Land Carbon Cycle

Abstract The global atmospheric CO 2 growth rate in 2023–2024 reached an unprecedented level, exceeding all records since modern monitoring began. Using a CO 2 flux inversion, constrained by column‐averaged CO 2 observations from Greenhouse gases Observing SATellite (GOSAT), we investigated spatio‐temporal drivers of this anomaly. The 2023–2024 El Niño seem to have increased non‐fossil CO 2 fluxes globally; however, unlike the former big 2015–2016 El Niño, which was dominated by tropical anomalies (0.96 PgC year −1 ), the 2023–2024 event exhibited not only distinct tropical increases (1.11 Pg C year −1 ) but also notable weakening of net CO 2 uptake (0.42 PgC year −1 ) across northern mid‐to‐high latitudes, whose flux variations have less sensitivity to El Niño in the past. The flux variability in the northern mid‐to‐high latitudes was primarily temperature‐associated, while fire emissions contributed only weakly and episodically.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2026-06-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2026gl122221
Primary Topic
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Drivers of 2023–2024 Atmospheric CO 2 Growth: Role of Northern Mid‐to‐High Latitude Land Carbon Cycle

Yukio Yoshida, Yu Someya, Tazu Saeki, Yosuke Niwa et al.
Geophysical Research Letters
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
article

Drivers of 2023–2024 Atmospheric CO 2 Growth: Role of Northern Mid‐to‐High Latitude Land Carbon Cycle

Yukio Yoshida, Yu Someya, Tazu Saeki, Yosuke Niwa, Suman Maity
article en

Abstract

Abstract The global atmospheric CO 2 growth rate in 2023–2024 reached an unprecedented level, exceeding all records since modern monitoring began. Using a CO 2 flux inversion, constrained by column‐averaged CO 2 observations from Greenhouse gases Observing SATellite (GOSAT), we investigated spatio‐temporal drivers of this anomaly. The 2023–2024 El Niño seem to have increased non‐fossil CO 2 fluxes globally; however, unlike the former big 2015–2016 El Niño, which was dominated by tropical anomalies (0.96 PgC year −1 ), the 2023–2024 event exhibited not only distinct tropical increases (1.11 Pg C year −1 ) but also notable weakening of net CO 2 uptake (0.42 PgC year −1 ) across northern mid‐to‐high latitudes, whose flux variations have less sensitivity to El Niño in the past. The flux variability in the northern mid‐to‐high latitudes was primarily temperature‐associated, while fire emissions contributed only weakly and episodically.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 53(13)
National Institute for Environmental Studies (JP)
Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
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Drivers of 2023–2024 Atmospheric CO <sub>2</sub> Growth: Role of Northern Mid‐to‐High Latitude Land Carbon Cycle — Yukio Yoshida, Yu Someya, et al. · Geophysical Research Letters (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS