Investigating the changes and driving forces of global value chain networks based on the stochastic actor-oriented model

Economic growth dependence provides a new perspective for the study of global value chains. Based on the dependence relationship of economic growth, Global Value Chain (GVC) networks had been constructed, and the structural characteristics had been analyzed. Utilizing the Stochastic Actor-Oriented Model (SAOM), this paper explored the evolution and the driving factors of GVC networks. The results showed that: (1) China has established the dominant position of its domestic economic circulation, with the role in GVC networks continuously rising. (2) Exogenous structural effects factors play the biggest role in shaping GVC networks, contributing about 80.58% on average. (3) Multiple endogenous attribute effects factors collectively play a significant role in the evolution of GVC networks, contributing about 19.42% on average.

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Publication Details

Journal
Humanities and Social Sciences Communications
Published
2026-06-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-026-08016-y
Primary Topic
Global trade, sustainability, and social impact
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Investigating the changes and driving forces of global value chain networks based on the stochastic actor-oriented model

Cunpu Li, Tian Jing, Xiao Liu, Qinrong He et al.
Humanities and Social Sciences Communications
Global trade, sustainability, and social impact
article

Investigating the changes and driving forces of global value chain networks based on the stochastic actor-oriented model

Cunpu Li, Tian Jing, Xiao Liu, Qinrong He, Renquan Huang, Qingyun Zhang
article en

Abstract

Economic growth dependence provides a new perspective for the study of global value chains. Based on the dependence relationship of economic growth, Global Value Chain (GVC) networks had been constructed, and the structural characteristics had been analyzed. Utilizing the Stochastic Actor-Oriented Model (SAOM), this paper explored the evolution and the driving factors of GVC networks. The results showed that: (1) China has established the dominant position of its domestic economic circulation, with the role in GVC networks continuously rising. (2) Exogenous structural effects factors play the biggest role in shaping GVC networks, contributing about 80.58% on average. (3) Multiple endogenous attribute effects factors collectively play a significant role in the evolution of GVC networks, contributing about 19.42% on average.

Humanities and Social Sciences Communications
Northwestern Polytechnical University (CN), Xi'an International Studies University (CN), Xi’an International University (CN), Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation (CN)
Xi'an International Studies University, Xi'an Social Science Fund
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Global trade, sustainability, and social impact
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