A stochastic framework for ruin probabilities under time-changed Brownian motion
This study investigates ruin probabilities in the insurance sector using a time-changed Brownian motion framework. By incorporating a normal inverse Gaussian (NIG) process, the model overcomes the limitations of traditional models with deterministic time evolution. The proposed approach introduces a stochastic time component governed by an inverse Gaussian process, allowing a more flexible and realistic assessment of ruin probabilities. We also extend the model by incorporating reinsurance mechanisms, offering a comprehensive view of risk allocation. The results highlight the model’s robustness and practical relevance in both insurance and reinsurance contexts, contributing to the literature on advanced risk processes.
Authors
- Başak Bulut Karageyi̇k
- Tuğba Aktaş Aslan (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2050-8763)
Institutions
- Kırıkkale University (TR)
- Hacettepe University (TR)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Communication in Statistics- Theory and Methods
- Published
- 2026-06-27
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1080/03610926.2026.2668471
- Primary Topic
- Probability and Risk Models
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00