Financial Sector Size, Interconnectedness, and Economic Growth

ABSTRACT This paper contributes to the literature on the relationship between financial development and GDP per capita growth, by considering both the total financial assets and the interconnectedness across the different financial sectors, as well as employing a more detailed sectoral classification. It focuses on a set of European advanced economies in the 1995–2023 period and finds that higher levels of total financial assets of banks and non‐banks are negatively associated with GDP per capita growth. The same is also true of measures of interconnectedness within the aggregate financial sector, which display a negative association in baseline specifications but are more sensitive to identification choices. These results reinforce the view that financial deepening beyond a certain point may hinder growth in advanced economies.

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Publication Details

Journal
Manchester School
Published
2026-06-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/manc.70050
Primary Topic
Banking stability, regulation, efficiency
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Financial Sector Size, Interconnectedness, and Economic Growth

Daniel Carvalho
Manchester School
Banking stability, regulation, efficiency
article

Financial Sector Size, Interconnectedness, and Economic Growth

Daniel Carvalho
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT This paper contributes to the literature on the relationship between financial development and GDP per capita growth, by considering both the total financial assets and the interconnectedness across the different financial sectors, as well as employing a more detailed sectoral classification. It focuses on a set of European advanced economies in the 1995–2023 period and finds that higher levels of total financial assets of banks and non‐banks are negatively associated with GDP per capita growth. The same is also true of measures of interconnectedness within the aggregate financial sector, which display a negative association in baseline specifications but are more sensitive to identification choices. These results reinforce the view that financial deepening beyond a certain point may hinder growth in advanced economies.

Manchester School
Banco de Portugal (PT)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Banking stability, regulation, efficiency
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